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Google, as a stock

8 pointsby franciscomelloalmost 10 years ago
This Alphabet transaction&#x2F;reorg. got me thinking:<p>Why should any investor pay a multiple (expensive, by the way) and get exposure to Google Ventures&#x2F;Google Capital&#x2F;Google&#x27;s other crazy ideas, when he&#x2F;she can just invest in Sequoia, A16Z, KKR, and other VC, growth equity, or private equity managers at book value?<p>Other than Google Search&#x2F;You Tube (what&#x27;ll be under the new Google CEO), it&#x27;s basically a bunch of VC-like bets right? Does Google have any great track record that would make an investor consider &quot;buying shares in its VC fund at a multiple&quot;?<p>Would love to hear some opinions on this theme.

1 comment

7Figures2Commasalmost 10 years ago
Pre-Alphabet, Google investors were <i>already</i> exposed to all of the company&#x27;s non-core businesses. The reorganization is designed to provide shareholders with a cleaner, more transparent structure while giving Google the ability to more easily operate its various businesses independently. If one of Alphabet&#x27;s independent companies takes off, the structure could also make it easier for it to engage in transactions that reward Alphabet shareholders.<p>When you invest in a new venture fund, you&#x27;re not buying anything at book value. You&#x27;re providing capital and trusting that the folks who are going to deploy it will be able to achieve a return consistent with your goals. Most funds charge an annual fee of 2% of assets under management and investors are locked in for at least 10 years, so there&#x27;s no free lunch. Given that the multiples in the private market today are even more pronounced than in the public markets, investors in venture funds are effectively paying significant premiums too.<p>Bottom line: if you like the core Google business and want some exposure to the craziest ideas in Silicon Valley, Alphabet might be attractive. It&#x27;s definitely not comparable to a venture fund but still might be as close as your average retail investor will ever come to a Bay Area venture fund. Who knows, it could become the next-gen Idealab if Larry and Sergey have their way.
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