Predictions for 2010

<p><pre><code> 20. Adobe CS5 makes biggest splash in the “Objective-C is hard, here’s another way to make iPhone applications” space. </code></pre> This can be pretty big. Specially if Apple releases the fabled iSlate with an iPhone-like OS (although I hope it's a touch based feline). All the little flash games and apps out there would suddenly become deployable in Apple hardware and Steve Jobs would all of a sudden get a gazilion more developers (for free) to help him push all of his lovely hardware.

<i>The Droid is hands-down the best non-iPhone phone on the market.</i><p>Huh? I just tried the Droid tonight at the Verizon kiosk, and I found it slow and confusing. HTC Sense on the HTC Hero is better by leaps and bounds.

Are Dropbox and GitHub wanting to get acquired?

I like this one: Bonus: RSS faces death as filtered content recommendation systems on social services emerge. They, along with most real-time startups, struggle to find a revenue model (in 2010). People almost get enjoyment out of claiming “RSS Is Dead”. The main problem with completely switching off RSS and on to Twitter is that there is a lot of noise – not to say that RSS isn’t noisy either, but it’s at least generally focused. The complete switch for me will occur when a service can leverage the vast amount of data collected by these social services and curate it in to a personalized feed just for me. Companies and investors are bullish on the real-time space, and I expect to see this service come to light this year. That being said, It is unclear to me that real-time content services have any significant revenue advantages over almost-real-time services. Accordingly, I don’t predict any services will figure out a way to monetize the added value of extreme recency in 2010.

AT&#38;T/Verizon/Apple: Apple's affections change quickly. In a span of about 8 months we had Jobs cracking jokes on Intel to Paul Otellini on stage in a bunny costume at an Apple event. If Verizon &#38; Apple cannot reach a deal I suspect we'll see the CDMA iPhone on Sprint instead. Is there <i>anything</i> Sprint wouldn't do to get the iPhone?

All of these predictions are so vague, one will never be able to judge if they are right or wrong.

A few of these are predicated on an improved economy, which is probably right.

&#62; 10. Square realizes its bottleneck is additional hardware, so it gives card reader away for free.<p>Isn't this what PayPal was originally trying to do back in the day? Interesting concept.