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Top fantasy sports player uses software, analytics to reap millions

162 pointsby livestyleover 9 years ago

7 comments

swansonover 9 years ago
It&#x27;s a selling shovels during the gold rush move.<p>There are tons of people popping up that sell lineups on Twitter (similar to stock picking &#x27;schemes&#x27;, split your audience and keep selling to the ones that you gave good picks). There are paid analytics tools like the one in the article (and others endorsed nearly every other top 10 player). You can buy projections built on someone&#x27;s machine learning model, or the aggregate of 50 top fantasy analysts. For a few bucks, you can get an Excel addon to optimize your lineups and script enter them for you. There are &quot;group pools&quot; that stake players to enter high-limit contests.<p>Take every business idea or angle from stock trading and online poker and they either exist already or will be released before next NFL season for DFS.
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jonathanbergerover 9 years ago
The fact he&#x27;s investing his time in building tools for others rather than putting all his time into winning on his own, raises doubts about his actual winnings.<p>One explanation might be that he&#x27;s maxed out how much he can win.
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geococcyxcover 9 years ago
If you&#x27;ve never heard of &quot;fantasy sports&quot;, John Oliver to the rescue: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.youtube.com&#x2F;watch?v=Mq785nJ0FXQ" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.youtube.com&#x2F;watch?v=Mq785nJ0FXQ</a>
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jahover 9 years ago
I built a system that scraped projections off <a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net&#x2F;projections" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;apps.fantasyfootballanalytics.net&#x2F;projections</a> and joined them with weekly salary information from DraftKings. I then ran that data through a genetic algorithm that maximized projected fantasy points while keeping the team salary under the limit.<p>I entered about 10 matches ... and I lost every single match.<p>I don&#x27;t know if my projection data was bad, my sample size too small, or if I was just unlucky. I gave up after a few weeks.
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kriroover 9 years ago
The juice in DFS is ridiculous but the player pool is full of really bad players. As soon as the player pool gets a bit better the edges get too small in my opinion. I have no access to DFS as I&#x27;m in Europe once I do I&#x27;ll probably adapt my dynasty FF points predictor to it for fun :)<p>Good time to switch to selling the software if you anticipate the edges to get smaller. Quite similar to the poker world where people that used to win big sell coaching at high rates and quite often people figure out that those coaches don&#x27;t beat the games anymore etc.
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akoumjianover 9 years ago
Wouldn&#x27;t commercializing these tools reduce his own potential earnings?
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mr_turtleover 9 years ago
I think this is less an argument for how much skill is involved in DFS - there is, but how slim the chances are for recreation players to win against the pros. This seems like a scam for recs who stand no chance.
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