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UNU will use 'human swarm intelligence' to make political predictions on Reddit

18 pointsby hogwashalmost 9 years ago

4 comments

modalmost 9 years ago
Can anyone see how they use the data to form a result? It specifically says they do not poll &amp; average the responses, but it doesn&#x27;t say what actually happens.<p>I guess that might be the secret sauce, but can anyone educated-guess it for me?
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deanalmost 9 years ago
Seems like a misnomer. The article&#x27;s description of &#x27;swarm intelligence&#x27; [1] sounds more like &#x27;wisdom of the crowd&#x27; [2].<p>[1]<a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Swarm_intelligence" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Swarm_intelligence</a><p>[2]<a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Wisdom_of_the_crowd" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Wisdom_of_the_crowd</a>
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clock_toweralmost 9 years ago
How well would this work when the right opinion is far outside the popular consensus? For example, can a predictive mechanism like this pick stocks and beat the S&amp;P 500?
internautalmost 9 years ago
Soon it&#x27;ll be making predictions about fighting 1 horse sized duck or 100 duck sized horses.