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Show HN: Silicon Valley Prediction Training

10 pointsby dannyhover 7 years ago

2 comments

Panoramicover 7 years ago
There's some dope advice at the end: "I recommend you use predictions to become reliable. Whenever you make commitments, ask yourself am I at least 80% confident I'll follow through here? When I'm not, I renegotiate immediately: Actually I expect I can have that for you in 3 weeks, 1 was optimistic. Actually I can't commit to do that at all because I'm super focused on x and y right now. The earlier you reset expectations the better. It's pretty easy to get other people to clarify their commitments in the same way." Overall solid.
uxoriousover 7 years ago
I definitely recommend the HBR article as well.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;hbr.org&#x2F;2017&#x2F;05&#x2F;how-our-company-learned-to-make-better-predictions-about-everything" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;hbr.org&#x2F;2017&#x2F;05&#x2F;how-our-company-learned-to-make-bett...</a><p>&quot;Founders bet years of their lives on finding product market fit, investors bet billions on the future value of ambitious startups, and executives bet that their strategies will increase a company&#x27;s prospects. Here, predicting the future is not a theoretical superpower, it&#x27;s part of the job.&quot;