I'd suggest instead that an understanding of underlying mechanisms is required.<p>Moore's law is predicated on the physical density of transistors on silicon. Constant linear die advances, driven largely by CAD and silicon modelling tools, themselves computationally bounded, deliver square-factor density improvements, to the limits of materials physics.<p>Wright's law concerns <i>process</i> improvements, on already physically-bounded products, such as aircraft. Pilot, payload, fuel, and airframe limitations bound the reduction in scale, absent quantum leaps in capabilities: nuclear warheads reduce city-flattening missions from bomber fleets to single aircraft, automation and remote control eliminate pilots, "smart" weapons reduce payload sizes as well.<p>But otherwise, the bounding space is the domain complexity itself: components and interactions, with functional limits ad interactions. Understanding of these comes incrementally, and tends to be dominated by institutional rather than computational information processing, cf Boeing's massive blunders in the 737-Max design.<p>This process doesn't lend itself to the exonential capacity-doubling of Moore's law, but rather a cost-reduction function that asymptotically approaches a lower bound.<p>(Red line in this plot: <a href="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4f/US_traffic_deaths_per_VMT%2C_VMT%2C_per_capita%2C_and_total_annual_deaths.png/1200px-US_traffic_deaths_per_VMT%2C_VMT%2C_per_capita%2C_and_total_annual_deaths.png" rel="nofollow">https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4f/US...</a>)<p>Also: <a href="https://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/2011/04/chart-of-the-day-why-have-road-fatalities-declined/" rel="nofollow">https://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/2011/04/chart-of-the-day-w...</a><p>A related phenomenon is auto safety improvements, expressed as deaths per million passenger miles, plotted from 1915-2015. There is no massive jump as one might expect with the introduction of safety belts (as they were called) in the 1950s, crash-test standards in the 1970s, airbags in the 1990s, or ABS and auto-steer in the 2010s, but rather a strongly consistent halving about every 20 years. With one exception; the halving period was <i>ten</i> years, in the first decade of data.