Does this mean the mortality rate is, approximately, 10x less than currently estimated?<p>(86% of cases unreported, eg about 1 in 10 reported, assume that number of unreported fatal cases is 0)<p>Edit: closer reading suggests the optimism is sadly unwarranted, the headline under-reporting number of 86% is from the early pre-travel ban model, post-travel-ban estimates give a 65% detection rate, combined with the increased number of cases in this later period this implies that naive mortality estimates are more like 2x off than 10x off.
The article is interesting but it seems to be just a mathematical model rather than a biological study actually finding and studying people who had undocumented infections.<p>I know they have found people like that but I'd still be leery about going from data to a pronouncement since I assume the data just isn't extensive or reliable.
This feels mixed. If true, it is more than just explaining how rapidly it spread, as the spread happened months ago. It also raises the question of why is it so severe some places, but less so many others?