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In Italian town of 3k, 50-75% of Covid-19 cases are asymptomatic but contagious

4 pointsby 9nGQluzmnq3Mabout 5 years ago

2 comments

robocatabout 5 years ago
But what percentage are pre-symptomatic? If cases are doubling every 5 days, and it takes 5 days for symptoms to show, might that explain result?<p>However the Italian study appears to agree with this preprint about another complete population study: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.medrxiv.org&#x2F;content&#x2F;10.1101&#x2F;2020.03.05.20031773v2.full.pdf" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.medrxiv.org&#x2F;content&#x2F;10.1101&#x2F;2020.03.05.20031773v...</a><p>That paper shows that the effect is age related: People over ~50 have a ~50% chance of being asymptomatic, under 50 years is ~10% asymptomatic.
simonsarrisabout 5 years ago
Doesn&#x27;t this suggest the number of cases in Italy or the US is probably in the hundreds of thousands, or millions?