No<p>From <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory</a><p>Based on the author's criteria:<p><pre><code> 1) The event is a surprise (to the observer).
2) The event has a major effect.
3) After the first recorded instance of the event, it is rationalized by hindsight, as if it could have been expected; that is, the relevant data were available but unaccounted for in risk mitigation programs. The same is true for the personal perception by individuals.
</code></pre>
It fails on the surprise aspect. Pandemics are expected. Failure to prepare for them does not make it a surprise.<p>List of epidemics from wikipedia: <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_epidemics" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_epidemics</a>