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The lockdown is expensive and may well not work. Here’s why we should try anyway

11 pointsby robertwiblinabout 5 years ago

1 comment

olliejabout 5 years ago
This completely misses the point of the lockdown - the goal is <i>solely</i> to show the rate of infection.<p>Once the rate of infection is slower there is the <i>possibility</i> a vaccine will be developed fast enough to make a difference in the current pandemic, but that’s unlikely.<p>What is likely is that peak concurrent hospitalizations is lowered - once the hospitals are saturated you get an increase in fatalities for <i>everything</i>. Survival rates for many diseases are strongly tied to availability of treatment - even in the cases of diseases like Ebola.<p>It also provides time for improved treatment modes, reducing the amount of time in hospitals and the fatality rates for those there.<p>The core thing that people need to internalize is that these lockdowns are not designed to reduce the total number of cases.<p>They are there purely to try and reduce the total death toll.
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