Why are you sending the data (including medical conditions) to Facebook?<p><a href="https://www.facebook.com/v6.0/plugins/like.php?action=like&app_id=&channel=https%3A%2F%2Fstaticxx.facebook.com%2Fconnect%2Fxd_arbiter.php%3Fversion%3D46%23cb%3Df17d6a34f1f5aae%26domain%3Dwww.covidodds.com%26origin%3Dhttps%253A%252F%252Fwww.covidodds.com%252Ff2adc5c9345f4d6%26relation%3Dparent.parent&container_width=4&href=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.covidodds.com%2F50-years-old-female-with-cardiovascular_disease&layout=button&locale=en_GB&sdk=joey&share=true&size=large" rel="nofollow">https://www.facebook.com/v6.0/plugins/like.php?action=like&a...</a>
What information are you logging? IP addresses and responses?<p>What is your data retention policy? Privacy policy? Who will you be sharing the information you collect with?<p>What if you tell someone they have low odds of death, and then they take more risks as a result of what you told them? If they were to end up dying of COVID-19 because they are induced to take more risks, do you think you will have exposed yourself to any legal liability?
Questions. How are you calculating risk? What do the risk scores mean? How accurate are they? What responsibility do you bear if your tool is wrong and someone gets hurt?<p>I am not saying all this to be a wet blanket, but because these are real ethical and legal issues that must be considered when making claims about healthcare related products. Otherwise I think this is a cool idea and nifty piece of app building.<p>My personal advice: consider reframing this as something other than a “personal risk calculator”. Either that or add a lot of explanations and disclaimers.
I suggest having a repository where people can contribute to the algorithm (with a requirement being to back up any proposed modification with a scientific source).<p>Also interesting that you put the non-covid risk as well, really brings things into perspective. In my age bracket I have a 0.18% of dying in the next 12 months, but only 0.017% from covid.
I made this tool after seeing much confusion, even on HN, about the risks for an individual posed by COVID-19. On the results page, click the question marks for detailed sources and methodology. I will appreciate constructive feedback.
It's interesting, but any reason why the age limit is 89? And when I adjust for co-morbidities (presumably adding them) my chance of hospitalisation and/or death actually decreases?
Question to the author (mathdev?): does this calculator take into account: 1) the effect of viral load/dose on outcome/severity 2) current data on rates of asymptomatic carriers?