>> Disclaimer: COVID-19 data is the number of ACTUAL US deaths since March 15th, 2020 as reported on Worldometer against the backdrop of the EXTRAPOLATED DAILY number of deaths for top 15 causes of death in the US based on the latest (2018) data from the CDC. This chart is not meant to represent statistical analysis of any kind, it is meant for visual purposes only to help raise public awareness of the exponentially increasing COVID-19 deaths in the US<p>This is a really awful chart. The number of deaths from Covid-19 is animated as they increase day-by-day, but the numbers of deaths from all other causes remain constant. These numbers (the blue bars) are stated to be the "EXTRAPOLATED DAILY numbers of deaths from the top 15 causes of death in the US" (other than Covid-19), but if they are "DAILY" numbers, why aren't they changing <i>daily</i>?<p>The last sentence in the disclaimer is at least honest about it: this graph has no real information content. I for one find this graph to only serve the purpose of sensationalising a situation that is already dramatic enough without the need of animations and special effects. Really. The only thing missing is epic music in the background. Something from Carmina Burana, perhaps.
Since the other causes of death remain static in this chart, its hard to tell if Covid-19 are new cases or "take away from other causes" (and by what percentage).<p>Would be interesting to see daily chart of Covid-19 deaths as % of total deaths and daily total deaths.<p>PS. Extra points - number of deaths due to lockdowns (suicides, unaccessible healthcare, etc)
From the disclaimer: <i>COVID-19 data is the number of ACTUAL US deaths since March 15th, 2020 as reported on Worldometer against the backdrop of the EXTRAPOLATED DAILY number of deaths for top 15 causes of death in the US based on the latest (2018) data from the CDC.</i>
Take a look at <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus" rel="nofollow">https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus</a><p>This chart in particular:<p><a href="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/daily-deaths-covid-19?country=USA+OWID_WRL" rel="nofollow">https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/daily-deaths-covid-19?cou...</a><p>It's showing a doubling of daily confirmed deaths since last week. This is a lagging statistic, of course, but it's one of the more firm ones.<p>The total confirmed deaths can be seen here:<p><a href="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-deaths-covid-19?country=OWID_WRL+USA" rel="nofollow">https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-deaths-covid-19?cou...</a><p>To put this into perspective, we're about halfway to the 23,000 flu deaths in the US for the entire flu season this year. At the current rate, though, we'll be past that by next week.<p>For more perspective, the 1957 Asian Flu killed about 70,000 people in the US (1 - 2 million worldwide), and our population at that time was 177 million (about half of today).<p>According to this chart:<p><a href="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/covid-confirmed-daily-deaths-epidemiological-trajectory" rel="nofollow">https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/covid-confirmed-daily-dea...</a><p>we may be just at the start of bending the curve.<p>We're a much larger country than some of the others shown in our group (add Italy, France, UK, Spain, and Germany, and we still have more people).<p>EDIT:<p>According to: <a href="https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/1957-1958-pandemic.html" rel="nofollow">https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/1957-1958-pandemi...</a><p>The number of deaths for the 1957 Asian Flu in the US was 116,000, at a time when we had half the population of today.
the link to the data for the CDC does not seem to match the graph...perhaps im reading this wrong?<p><a href="https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm" rel="nofollow">https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm</a><p>if we're mapping based on the 2018 numbers the CDC provide then 49925 per month or ~12k per week is the cancer rate...<p>Diabetes is around 1700, not 200.
CDC guidelines appear to ask medical professional, to over-report COVID as a cause of death, if there is reasonable suspicion, but not a definite diagnosis.<p>I am not sure if this right/wrong, and how different it is from guidelines relating, to say, flu as a cause of death.<p>> "...
In cases where a definite diagnosis of COVID–19 cannot be made, but it is suspected or likely (e.g., the circumstances are compelling within a reasonable degree of certainty), it is acceptable to report COVID–19 on a death certificate as “probable” or “presumed.” In these instances, certifiers should use their best clinical judgement in determining if a COVID–19 infection was likely. However, please note that testing for COVID–19 should be conducted whenever possible.
..." [1]<p>As an hypothetical example, if a deceased was in a contact with covid-positive person, but the deceased was not tested for Covid, should the cause of death be noted as 'presumed covid-19'?<p>[1] <a href="https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvss/vsrg/vsrg03-508.pd" rel="nofollow">https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvss/vsrg/vsrg03-508.pd</a>
A version that removes "one week average" as the latest value: <a href="https://public.flourish.studio/visualisation/1852838" rel="nofollow">https://public.flourish.studio/visualisation/1852838</a>
At least the Covid-19 deaths have a limit, whereas many of the others will remain constant for a much longer time. The sadness of this disease is for many countries it did not need to be so bad. I wonder if we as a country (US) will learn anything from this.
How do you know that this was the cause of death when all we know is that these people were tested positive on Covid19 before they died?
Not denying that Covid19 is a thing and measures are necessary but I think this question is valid when reading such headlines.
Wow, the rapid increase is definitely alarming.<p>Side note:
gun violence would average number 3 or 4, if not for the tireless lobbying from the NRA to block health impact research.
<a href="https://www.gunviolencearchive.org/" rel="nofollow">https://www.gunviolencearchive.org/</a>