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“It'll all be over by Christmas” (No it won't)

54 pointsby 9nGQluzmnq3Mabout 5 years ago

9 comments

agdabout 5 years ago
Not sure why this is upvoted, it looks like a standard internet rant with little factual basis or analysis. No mention of contact tracing, testing, and apps/surveillance as the most likely exit strategy for both US and UK.
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cableshaftabout 5 years ago
&quot;It&#x27;ll be over by Christmas&quot; was a popular prediction when World War I started (some even thought it would be over in days) that was stunningly wrong.<p>While I thought this was about COVID-19 before clicking, I assumed it would use WWI as an example of how experts and those in charge could get predictions of how long something would take really, really wrong, and was kind of disappointed to not see any mention of that in there.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.historynet.com&#x2F;over-by-christmas.htm" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.historynet.com&#x2F;over-by-christmas.htm</a>
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crispinbabout 5 years ago
&gt; Have I missed anything out?<p>The extreme differences in competencies between nations in dealing with the crisis, with the US near the bottom of the pack. Which brings up the possibility that the US&#x27;s decline, apparent to much of the world even before the witless 45&#x27;s comic ascendancy, accelerates apace, with SARS-CoV-2 delivering the coup de grace.
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ceilingcornerabout 5 years ago
I don&#x27;t know who this author is, but the snarky, irritating writing style makes me not want to read anything he&#x2F;she has to say.
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rejschaapabout 5 years ago
&gt; not $1200 for 10 weeks: more like $1200 per week<p>I agree $1200 for 10 weeks is a bit low, but $1200 per week is really high and maybe a bit excessive? Can somebody get Andrew Yang back on the case?
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barrenkoabout 5 years ago
It&#x27;s insane, but I also see UBI as a possibility.
Aeolunabout 5 years ago
It will be interesting to see how this goes, but I expect the next waves (if they are there at all), to be a lot longer and spread out.
antmanabout 5 years ago
A very good approach, need to return to this post in a few months.
LargoLasskhyfvabout 5 years ago
Meanwhile on <i>XK-Masada</i>...