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Ask HN: Why is market so bullish in past few weeks

1 pointsby currioabout 5 years ago
I know predicting future of stock market is not easy and most of all predictions are wrong.<p>But I think people are (relatively) better at explaining past events when it comes to stock market.<p>Is it because market is optimistic businesses will open and business will be usual in few weeks.<p>Optimistic about arrival of vaccine<p>... ?<p>Thanks

3 comments

mattbillensteinabout 5 years ago
I don&#x27;t know if it&#x27;s bullish - down 30% at one point off the peak, the quickest selloff in history, followed by an impressive run -- it&#x27;s certainly volatile right now...<p>I think the thing people don&#x27;t understand about the market, is buying stock is buying a right to participate in a company&#x27;s future earnings and risk -- it&#x27;s _forward_ looking. Where as most economic data (jobs reports, earnings, etc) is _backward_ looking - by the time we get that data, it&#x27;s effectively already priced-in in an efficient market.<p>If I&#x27;m buying right now, I&#x27;m thinking stocks are actually on sale; I get more for my money - and I&#x27;m looking to hold for multiple years, so any one day&#x27;s news good or bad doesn&#x27;t really matter to me.
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maxharrisabout 5 years ago
The rise in the markets has been driven by the fed&#x2F;treasury stimulus actions, and the fall in new coronavirus cases in the US and Europe. Stocks would still be very low without the government manipulating everything.<p>I know this is the case because I invested my entire life savings on this one. (I have been glued to CNBC and E*TRADE.) I decided to start buying on March 16th...
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maxharrisabout 5 years ago
<a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.reviewjournal.com&#x2F;business&#x2F;reopened-wynn-resorts-will-have-thermal-cameras-masks-ceo-says-2010013&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.reviewjournal.com&#x2F;business&#x2F;reopened-wynn-resorts...</a><p>I hold a position in WYNN. I also think that the CEO has a realistic plan for opening in May, and we should all get behind that.