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Bangalore has 12M residents and only 385 Covid-19 cases

117 pointsby utkarsh_apoorvaalmost 5 years ago

21 comments

Zenstalmost 5 years ago
What has become clear is levels of testing and how deaths are recorded vary greatly. So somebody in the UK who tested or even suspected of COVID-19 dieing from a heart attack - that is recorded as covid-19 death, in somewhere like Germany - that would be recorded as a heart attack, even if it is clear that the illness caused the issue.<p>But one thing that has struck me as worrying, is the faily recorded cases - looking at WHO data, always a spike on a friday! Why is that, backlog, testing pattern or rush to get to the weekend - dunno, but a very clear trend until recently and now seeing spike more common than that 7 day trend. IMHO, all the signs of a second wave and a\ll the actions to enable it. Governments be damned if they don&#x27;t ease lockdown and damned if people still die.<p>But I do wished there was some better universal defined way deaths are recorded as currently it is a fallacy to compare countries due to the nuances of how deaths are recorded.<p>One thing I do know and been a concern of mine for months, once things ease - how many poor postman and postwoman are going to be asked to record buildup of mail at address - a solid indication that somebody died inside. Those deaths are the ones which we are still to realise and they are out there awaiting to be found.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com&#x2F;apps&#x2F;opsdashboard&#x2F;index.html#&#x2F;bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com&#x2F;apps&#x2F;opsdashboard&#x2F;index.h...</a> You can view the stats for daily cases there bottom right, expand that and hit the daily cases tab - you can see the week trend most prominent and also the changes to that recently that are not a good sign IMHO.
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stormdennisalmost 5 years ago
In the UK non white ethnic groups and especially Bangladeshis have had the highest mortality rate from Covid 19 and yet the countries they come from are faring better than the UK is against the disease. The explanation for this when it&#x27;s found will be interesting, one factor might be climate and possible vitamin D deficiency among these groups in Britain.
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latchalmost 5 years ago
Vietnam at 0 deaths.<p>Singapore at 24 deaths (despite a relatively high number of cases).<p>There&#x27;s a thread on the front page right now re Sweden&#x27;s handling. A lot of the comments seem to be trying to rate the performance of various European countries against each other. I guess I&#x27;m missing something, because I&#x27;d just categorize most of it as a disaster.
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desikoderalmost 5 years ago
In general, India has dealt unexpectedly well with this health crisis, given it&#x27;s lack of resources for health care (compared to other large economies).<p>Bengaluru, in particular, is better off because of relatively lesser number of ghettos compared to other major cities in the country.<p>Considering it&#x27;s a hub significantly driven by ITES money, what would be more interesting to watch is how does it come out of it, now that it&#x27;s quite evident that IT processionals can quite capably work from home.<p>Would bengaluru still hold the crown of the IT of india or this will finally incentivize the breaking down of budding metro cities?
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anilgulechaalmost 5 years ago
Bangalorean here. What I saw was everyone followed the lockdown guidelines very well when it was put in.<p>A bit worried now as it has relaxed, and the numbers are growing. Not sure if the rate is lower or higher than similar cities. Anyone have data?
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ImaCakealmost 5 years ago
I note the continued comments that are unable to believe that this virus can be contained. While I am highly skeptical that India will be able to keep cases down. Other wealthier countries certainly can.<p>Since I live in Australia, and hence in a country that has effectively eliminated community spread. I would like to confirm that <i>we did actually stop the virus</i> and the government numbers are absolutely real. Lockdown is basically over, people can socialise again, people are hiring, within-state (but not inter-state) travel is now allowed almost everywhere. People are no longer scared.
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francescopnpnalmost 5 years ago
Reporting and testing across different countries is not equal by any means. I&#x27;m always amazed by these headlines that mean literally nothing. Statistics 101? The conclusions you can actually derive by the deviation in deaths YoY <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.euromomo.eu&#x2F;graphs-and-maps#z-scores-by-country" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.euromomo.eu&#x2F;graphs-and-maps#z-scores-by-country</a> are that the least densely populated countries are the ones faring better. Germany being the outlier. Taiwan did great because @n95s for every citizen.
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manojldsalmost 5 years ago
&gt; The inability to control clusters like Dharavi in Mumbai, Koyambedu market in Chennai and the Tablighi Jamaat conference in Delhi, led to these respective city administrations losing control over COVID-19<p>Being a bit unfair to Chennai there, which was bombarded with both Tablighi Jamaat cluster and Koyambedu (one of Asia&#x27;s largest vegetable markets)<p>Also Chennai is testing highest in both units and per capita amongst Indian cities, and death rate is at 0.8% compated to 2.3% for Bangalore which is not mentioned.
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glaberfickenalmost 5 years ago
&gt;&quot;For a population of approximately 1.2 crores, Bengaluru city has had just 385 reported cases of COVID-19(...)&quot;<p>TIL! <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wiktionary.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;crore" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wiktionary.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;crore</a>
happy-go-luckyalmost 5 years ago
During the lockdown, normally busy areas of the city have been largely deserted.<p>Of course, there are concerns that the city likely is under-reporting the incidence of infection, but as for fatality data you cannot hide mass deaths.
erfghalmost 5 years ago
It&#x27;s because they don&#x27;t test as much and they are not eager to mark deaths as covid-19.
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mytailorisrichalmost 5 years ago
India&#x27;s official numbers are exploding [1]. They were under lockdown, which does not seem to have had any effect and which is now being relaxed. It does not strike me as outstanding management.<p>I really don&#x27;t know to make of official numbers in many countries, especially when comparing among countries. They seem to go all over the place and it&#x27;s hard to make sense of them. Part of it, I think, is that we don&#x27;t fully understand the virus and I suspect a lot of natural causes will be found to explain some of the differences.<p>[1] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.worldometers.info&#x2F;coronavirus&#x2F;country&#x2F;india&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.worldometers.info&#x2F;coronavirus&#x2F;country&#x2F;india&#x2F;</a>
presiozoalmost 5 years ago
&gt; Apart from contact tracing, testing the right people helped the state keep a check on the spread.<p>I see this sentence a little problematic
knownalmost 5 years ago
<a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;COVID-19_pandemic_in_Namibia" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;COVID-19_pandemic_in_Namibia</a> with 27 million population did even better. Just 23 cases and no deaths;<p>1st case was detected on 14th March; Same day Namibia suspended Air travel;
icedchaialmost 5 years ago
385 <i>reported</i> cases. How many people have they tested?
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IG_Semmelweissalmost 5 years ago
I saw the title and i said to myself<p>&quot;......For now&quot;<p>This will be a supremely important question to settle in 2 months once moonson season is in full swing<p>It could completely upend the COVID status quo
lgleasonalmost 5 years ago
The warm climate probably helps the R numbers. That said, I don&#x27;t think the number is that low given the population density etc..
whoevercaresalmost 5 years ago
Ask any India or Vietnam people if they believe the number... don’t be so naive those countries have every things to lose as well
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nunezalmost 5 years ago
...that we know of
ykevinatoralmost 5 years ago
Is this credible?
aerodogalmost 5 years ago
Why were Jammu and Kashmir included in their chart? I thought that&#x27;s not part of India but a part their Hindu party is trying to forcibly take over.
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