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Color-balancing vote margins and vote totals in the US election map

209 pointsby mygoover 4 years ago

12 comments

cs702over 4 years ago
Fantastic work.<p>The final map for the US election in 2016 is both the most accurate and the easiest to understand I&#x27;ve seen so far:<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;stemlounge.com&#x2F;content&#x2F;images&#x2F;2019&#x2F;10&#x2F;muddy_america_2016_static-1.png" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;stemlounge.com&#x2F;content&#x2F;images&#x2F;2019&#x2F;10&#x2F;muddy_america_...</a><p>In this map, saturation and lightness indicate vote density and color indicates the winning party, in each county.<p>IMHO, this is the kind of map that should be used by <i>every</i> media outlet to show election results.
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cryptofistMonkover 4 years ago
I wonder how much difference it would make if vote &quot;density&quot; was used to determine the saturation, rather than total number of votes.<p>By my thinking, a geographically large county with 500,000 votes appears much more significant than a smaller county with the same number of votes in this map, and adjusting for density could potentially correct that?
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an_opabiniaover 4 years ago
A red-and-blue map is more like a brand logo for election news. The thumbnail for the Facebook or Twitter story. The saturated red and blue colors have an almost astrological meaning to people, it&#x27;s got nothing to do with information.<p>Maps people struggle with this, they&#x27;re always using maps to try to visualize a piece of data when almost always a short table would be better.<p>Data graphics people are themselves a subset of a family of wonks that spend 50% of their day rehashing the same tired stories, and the other 50% lamenting how innumerate people are.<p>Did you ever consider that maybe the reason the maps are stupid is because they&#x27;re stupid as a whole, not because there&#x27;s something wrong with the reader or the designer?
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jeffbeeover 4 years ago
If you are going to insist on showing counties, why not also show boroughs of Alaska, and at their realistic sizes? If you do this the usual &quot;OMG red land&quot; depiction of 2016 gets flipped on its head, because the vast and empty regions of Alaska voted for Clinton.<p>If you want to argue against showing the boroughs of Alaska because nobody lives there, then we need to talk about all of those empty divisions of the lower 48, too.
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pwinnskiover 4 years ago
Pretty beautiful, without the shape distortions that usually plague population-based electoral maps.<p>Land doesn&#x27;t vote, people do.
gpmover 4 years ago
This is cool.<p>I suspect that the value (white to dark scale) should be proportionate to votes&#x2F;square km (or even better votes&#x2F;pixel, since the projection isn&#x27;t perfect at preserving area) instead of just number of votes though. In the current formula a huge county with 1000 is as dark as a tiny county with 1000 votes, but is visually much larger.
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vmceptionover 4 years ago
I had used similar data to speculate on the minimum number of people needed to move from the cities to the various counties in order to make the whole country a single party, in theory. A reality is that one party has the numbers of people necessary while the other does not.<p>I was curious to how much that would cost so it would be clear whether a super PAC could fund it. It would involve housing people long enough to be eligible to be registered in that state.<p>But then the pandemic happened and people did it on their own. We&#x27;ll see!
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liminalover 4 years ago
Bivariate color ramps are usually a disaster, but they work beautifully here. Nice job!
tantalorover 4 years ago
&gt; The statistical upper fence can be calculated using the formula Q3 + 1.5 * IQR<p>What is Q3? IQR?
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s17nover 4 years ago
It&#x27;s a nice attempt, but capping the county population at 60000 means the map is effectively ignoring the majority of the population (if you consider the number of &quot;ignored people&quot; to be the sum over all counties of the county&#x27;s actual population minus 60000)
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drc500freeover 4 years ago
Really nice work, but also quite misleading. The &quot;real&quot; map isn&#x27;t interesting enough, so 97% of votes are excluded from the most populous liberal counties using an artificially low ceiling.
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vmceptionover 4 years ago
Now do one with tooltips on hover or tap so we can see what the margin is!
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