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Berkson's Paradox

127 pointsby alfongjabout 4 years ago

6 comments

alexpetraliaabout 4 years ago
My favorite article on this: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;erikbern.com&#x2F;2020&#x2F;01&#x2F;13&#x2F;how-to-hire-smarter-than-the-market-a-toy-model.html" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;erikbern.com&#x2F;2020&#x2F;01&#x2F;13&#x2F;how-to-hire-smarter-than-the...</a>
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dangabout 4 years ago
If curious, past threads:<p><i>Berkson&#x27;s Paradox</i> - <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=18667423" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=18667423</a> - Dec 2018 (21 comments)<p><i>Berkson&#x27;s Paradox</i> - <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=8264252" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=8264252</a> - Sept 2014 (20 comments)
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ameliusabout 4 years ago
Am I the only one who dislikes this form of presentation, i.e. as a series of tweets?
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tejtmabout 4 years ago
From the wikipedia page it seems to be a generalization on sampling below the Nyquist frequency can lead to incorrect interpretation of wave forms but in more dimensions.
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reactchainabout 4 years ago
The argument here is that &quot;smart people are worse looking&quot; is actually a case of _of the people you encounter_ smart people are worse looking, but that overall there is no correlation. This makes sense, but I think it&#x27;s more complex. If you took the entire population, I think you could still conclude the &quot;smart people are worse looking&quot; if you define smart to include non-innate, learned behaviour, for the simple reason that good looking people have an easier time in life (getting jobs and so forth) and are therefore less compelled to spend time and effort becoming &quot;smart&quot;. So there&#x27;s a self-balancing aspect that produces these correlations in the general population as well.
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reactspaabout 4 years ago
As a Taleb follower, this concept seems similar to Survivorship Bias or Selection Bias.
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