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Ask HN: Why is stock market booming when the economy is struggling?

13 pointsby imheretolearnabout 4 years ago

8 comments

andrew_v4about 4 years ago
The valuations are in part a leading indicator of inflation, as governments print money. It&#x27;s no good having cash, buy a stream of inflation adjusted revenue.<p>Also whatever the opposite of trickle down economics is. As more concentrated wealth chases investment opportunities, prices go up.
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cloudkingabout 4 years ago
The fed, &quot;quantitative easing&quot; (aka money printing), zero % interest rates, resulting inflation in asset prices (stocks, crypto, housing etc).
zoshiabout 4 years ago
Is the economy struggling?<p>Consumer spending has completely rebounded to previous levels: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;tradingeconomics.com&#x2F;united-states&#x2F;consumer-spending" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;tradingeconomics.com&#x2F;united-states&#x2F;consumer-spending</a><p>Manufacturing output has also completely rebounded: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;fred.stlouisfed.org&#x2F;series&#x2F;OUTMS" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;fred.stlouisfed.org&#x2F;series&#x2F;OUTMS</a><p>Unemployment has fallen back to 6%, near prepandemic levels <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;tradingeconomics.com&#x2F;united-states&#x2F;unemployment-rate" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;tradingeconomics.com&#x2F;united-states&#x2F;unemployment-rate</a><p>And the technology sector never really slowed down. Many tech companies experienced high growth during 2020.
Finnucaneabout 4 years ago
Because the stock market is not the economy. Much of the gain in the s&amp;p 500 has been from companies that benefitted from the quarantines—Apple, Amazon, etc.
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runawaybottleabout 4 years ago
There’s no appetite for global war and China is about to become the largest economy. Most of the world is entering the consumer space via technology. There’s a lot of people, and we’ve identified what everyone worldwide wants to buy (electric cars, gadgets, games, movies, food). Every market is just going to get huge, so I really don’t see what the argument is for ‘main street’ to be struggling.<p>The major concern is during this boom the robber barons will take an uncharitable share of the wealth and accumulate it at the top, but the overall global economy is more than signaling it’s going to bust out even more.
alxmrsabout 4 years ago
the nyts offered a good explanation for this in january [1]. the general idea is that white collar workers’ usual discretionary spending was diverted into the stock market.<p>[1] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.nytimes.com&#x2F;2021&#x2F;01&#x2F;01&#x2F;upshot&#x2F;why-markets-boomed-2020.html" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.nytimes.com&#x2F;2021&#x2F;01&#x2F;01&#x2F;upshot&#x2F;why-markets-boomed...</a>
drstewartabout 4 years ago
Is the economy struggling? Everything is seeing unprecedented consumer demand: from housing to bicycles to video games, demand is outstripping supply.
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loofatoofaabout 4 years ago
income inequality in action.