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Northwest heat wave was statistically “impossible”

22 pointsby hardtkealmost 4 years ago

2 comments

lmilcinalmost 4 years ago
Statistics is based on a model.<p>It becomes invalid when the model becomes invalid.<p>Here, we had a new phenomena that was not included in the existing model.<p>It was not &quot;statistically impossible&quot;. Rather, it was &quot;not covered by existing statistical model&quot;.
ewzimmalmost 4 years ago
This seems to imply that in the near future our weather models will become useless, but we won’t know when it has happened. Rohde’s Uncertainty Principle.
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