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A test of human intuition for mean-reverting processes

2 pointsby micropredictionover 3 years ago

2 comments

gus_massaover 3 years ago
I&#x27;m not sure what is your intended audience. I have no ideas what is a &quot;<i>exponentiated mean-reverting Brownian motion</i>&quot; and I have a PhD in Math.<p>I have a few ideas of what it could be, mostly because I took a few Physics classes, and I&#x27;m trying to match the possible models to the graphs.<p>You should give a minimal explanation of what is the undelaying model, and also make the question more clear, super clear, it&#x27;s not clear enough.<p>[spoiler alert] I don&#x27;t understand why 9 is an obvious bad answer, but perhaps the problem is that I&#x27;m using a bad model. Can I google it?
micropredictionover 3 years ago
You are asked one mathematically subtle question about mean-reverting processes.<p>Results will be part of a submitted academic paper. Thanks to all who participate.