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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2022?

19 pointsby hidden-spyderover 3 years ago

15 comments

mikewarotover 3 years ago
It slowly dawns on the population that a great many of us have had a few <i>decades</i> slashed off of our lifespan by the after-effects of a disease that some of us still refuse to believe in.<p>There are likely millions in the US who are now functionally 20+ years older than they were a year ago. It&#x27;s going to take a decade for this knowledge to diffuse through to everyone as the funerals of young people become the new normal.<p>There is a very small chance that the narrative of how this disaster happened is properly known, most likely it will continue to be buried.<p>---<p>Computers still won&#x27;t have capability based security, and the slow moving disaster will continue. We&#x27;ll keep blaming C, programmers, hackers, and users... all the wrong causes.<p>---<p>Democrats will fail to accomplish any of their stated goals (which suits the donor class just fine), and the other team will win a lot of seats. Donor control over government continues intact. In 2024 control flips, and the story repeats.<p>---<p>Slowly evidence emerges that there have been many overunity devices invented in the past century that were suppressed to keep the status quo going in the fossil fuel industry.<p>---<p>There&#x27;s a small chance the donor class loses control... and it could go poorly.
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HappySweeneyover 3 years ago
Regarding office vs wfh: the extroverts will lose; there are too many billions to be saved. The buildings will be repurposed into cheap condos or demo&#x27;d.<p>There will be no market crash.<p>There will be no real consequences for Jan 6.<p>Non-farm payroll numbers will continue to disappoint for months.
yulaowover 3 years ago
More structural economic problems derived from those of the last two years get discovered, financial stability deteriorates more and faster, consumers&#x27; trust in the future gets even worse than now.
aynycover 3 years ago
US-centric.<p>* Mid-year elections where 34 out of 100 senate seats are up for election. This is gonna pull us apart further. I expect a lot of violence.<p>* Inflation will raise more and faster.<p>* Stock market is gonna climb even higher as more and more money are gonna get printed by the feds. (SSI is getting a 5.9% boost!)<p>* Many companies will abandon mandatory in-office work for most of the back office type positions.
sysadm1nover 3 years ago
TV shows that reference the Pandemic.<p>And the &#x27;managed decline&#x27; of Britain.
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rvzover 3 years ago
Things are looking pretty euphoric in the markets today; increasing the likelihood of a great tumble from a magnificent run.<p>Only a matter of time until it starts to fully take into effect.<p>Maybe it&#x27;s time to finally hit that sell button?
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PaulHouleover 3 years ago
At least one new light water reactor switches on outside of China.
h2odragonover 3 years ago
The world will continue spinning regardless of the noises made by those of us resident on this layer of it.
leet_thowover 3 years ago
Overreach by the far-left wing of the Democratic party leading to an Independant and slightly left of center revolt and Republican landslide in the midterms.<p>Crime, homelessness and drug problems continuing to get worse to the point where places like Portland Oregon either collapse into chaos or are forced to do mass sweeps &#x2F; arrests.<p>Divorce rates climbing while marriage and fertility rates decline.
suvoover 3 years ago
A new <i>and deadlier</i> &#x27;rona wave comes by May and ...
softwaredougover 3 years ago
I wonder what the predictions of 2020 were in late 2019 :)
mindcrimeover 3 years ago
<i>What&#x27;s your prediction for the fight?</i><p><i>Prediction?</i><p><i>Yes, prediction.</i><p><i>Pain.</i>
muzaniover 3 years ago
Another pandemic hits and it&#x27;s not well-managed. Everyone, exhausted and resources depleted from COVID-19, don&#x27;t respond to the new threat or refuse to see it. Nobody has the political capital to call for more lockdowns or rush another vaccine.<p>It could well be something like Ebola, with a r0 of 1.8, and a high fatality rate. A lot of people will decide that they&#x27;d rather risk death to a disease over certain death from poverty.
giantg2over 3 years ago
That my job will still suck, and will probably be even worse.<p>Basically that everything will continue to get worse.
Graffurover 3 years ago
World travel is still not as easy pre-covid due to expiring vaccination certs being required.<p>Lockdowns to continue throughout the world.<p>Some big events will be cancelled because the performer gets covid.<p>WFO pushed back and back due to covid outbreaks.