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Age and high-growth entrepreneurship

148 pointsby jacobrover 3 years ago

7 comments

georgewsingerover 3 years ago
Studying &quot;1-in-1,000 fastest growing new ventures&quot; is completely misunderstanding tech. Startup returns are about power-laws and <i>extraordinary outliers</i>. If we instead study the age of founders of tech companies which actually generated almost all of the ecosystem gains over the past few decades:<p>1. Apple: $2.65T<p><pre><code> - Jobs: 21 - Woz: 26 </code></pre> 2. Alphabet: $1.73T<p><pre><code> - Larry&#x2F;Sergey: 25ish </code></pre> 3. Microsoft: $2.22T<p><pre><code> - Gates: 19 - Allen: 22 </code></pre> 4. Amazon: $1.45T<p><pre><code> - Bezos: 29 </code></pre> 5. Facebook: $0.84T<p><pre><code> - Zuckerberg: 19 </code></pre> Looking at just the age of founders instead of other substance is stupid. But if we&#x27;re <i>just</i> looking at age and nothing else, then younger founders make for better outliers, and generating outliers is the whole point of this endeavor.<p>-----<p>EDIT: With its high market cap, Tesla belongs on this list, and actually had some older founders. Problem: the older founders left the company&#x2F;were forcibly removed, didn&#x27;t retain much equity, and aren&#x27;t credited with much early success when they were actually in charge. Still, some interesting data points.<p>Tesla: $0.94T<p><pre><code> - Elon Musk: 32 - J.B. Straubel: 28 - Martin Eberhard: 43 (forcibly removed due to late&#x2F;over budget Roadsters) - Marc Tappening: 39 (left Tesla in 2008)</code></pre>
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beckingzover 3 years ago
The mean age at founding a 1 in 1000 fastest growing organization is 45.<p>Which makes sense, because industry connections for talent and sales are incredibly valuable.
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rkk3over 3 years ago
The public only knows consumer tech startups, which imo is like catching lightning in a bottle &amp; selling it. The key idea&#x2F;insight probably matters more in consumer, which can benefit from being young or around young people. You also don&#x27;t get as much of a benefit from experience &amp; professional network as you do in other verticals; B2B SAAS, Deep Tech etc. Without making the distinction between types of companies, pieces like this are silly pop-sci.
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is0topeover 3 years ago
I couldn&#x27;t find it in the paper, but I wonder how having a family affects this?
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Gatskyover 3 years ago
&gt; The mean age at founding for the 1-in-1,000 fastest growing new ventures is 45.0<p>How many of us out there are whispering to themselves &quot;There&#x27;s still hope...&quot;
jasodeover 3 years ago
Some previous threads on the Azoulay&#x2F;Jones&#x2F;Kim paper: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=16902662" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=16902662</a>
srcreighover 3 years ago
Who&#x27;s to say a small number of successful-since-25 entrepreneurs just keep making successful high growth companies every 5-10 years until they&#x27;re 55+?<p>Maybe they do it more frequently on average when they&#x27;re older than when they&#x27;re younger.<p>It would be much more interesting to look at the age when people first achieve high growth success.