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Johns Hopkins study says ill-founded lockdowns did little to limit Covid deaths

30 pointsby kerneloftruthover 3 years ago

8 comments

exotreeover 3 years ago
This is very frustrating. We know that it was not meant to reduce deaths.<p>The lockdowns were, and are, meant to spread out the deaths that we knew were going to happen. The goal was, and is, to avoid acutely overwhelming our hospital systems so people with emergency ailments like a heart attack could still get immediate care.
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boringgover 3 years ago
Sounds like one hell of a clickbait title of scientific lit to me: &quot;A LITERATURE REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF LOCKDOWNS ON COVID-19 MORTALITY&quot;<p>FYI written by a bunch of economists.
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jliptzinover 3 years ago
Wasn’t the point of lockdowns to not cause a rush to the hospital all at once?
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bradgranathover 3 years ago
More ill-FOLLOWED, than ill-founded.
pkilgoreover 3 years ago
A political scientist and two economists walk into a room and setup that headline. Sounds like this one needs some critical examination from expert sources before it&#x27;s taken for anything.
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dborehamover 3 years ago
As far as I remember, the majority of lock-downs were imposed only _after_ the local medical system was becoming overwhelmed, and in a direct response to that happening.
glialover 3 years ago
The current spike in cases could be seen as a control scenario for what would have happened without lockdowns (remember &quot;flatten the curve&quot;?). For the Alpha variant, the case-fatality rate for the original variant was about 1%. In the US, the latest numbers are 424k&#x2F;day. So we can suppose that if numbers were as high then, we&#x27;d have seen about 4.2k deaths&#x2F;day, compared to the actual spring 2020 peak of ~2500. And that doesn&#x27;t consider the probable knock-on effects on our medical system, since the hospitalization rate would have likely been much higher.
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pmarreckover 3 years ago
Let me know when someone has a rebuttal
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