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Ask HN: What's your predictions for the next few 18 months?

7 pointsby de-asis-kevinabout 3 years ago
I&#x27;ve seen the previous posts from this year and the previous years.<p>It seems like there was a lot of unexpected things these past few months that no one really expected. Knowing what we know now, what are you predictions?<p>I don&#x27;t really have a prediction, it seems it&#x27;s easy to predict things when things are going really well, but it seems, like things are hard to predict when there area a lot of uncertainty

4 comments

mikewarotabout 3 years ago
Over the next 6 months, the penny will drop that Covid in the US never really ended, we just stopped treating it as a public health emergency, unlike the rest of the world. As a result, our long covid numbers will continue to climb. Workers will become increasingly hard to find as the disabled population of the US climbs at a staggering rate.<p>Evidence: Look at the trends for the rest of the world, vs the US where we no longer fund testing, nor encourage it, nor reporting of Covid cases.<p>Sources like [1] Johns Hopkins still track it, world wide.<p>1 - <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;coronavirus.jhu.edu&#x2F;map.html" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;coronavirus.jhu.edu&#x2F;map.html</a>
jsz0about 3 years ago
I&#x27;ve been saying this for a while but I think we&#x27;re about to see a ton of tech jobs disappear or see dramatically lower wages. With modern DevOps practices, managed services, etc I just don&#x27;t see how a lot of these job roles can continue to exist. One of the reasons I got out of network engineering was I realized one day a decent algorithm would be able do 95% of my job better than I could.
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nonrandomstringabout 3 years ago
&gt; but it seems like things are hard to predict when there are a lot of uncertainty<p>Have you ever heard of novelty waves?
BOOSTERHIDROGENabout 3 years ago
What was the unexpected things ?