I'll try to go first:<p>- GPT4 starts unbelievable hype and VC money grab. Everyone will try to implement Copilot for X, either from scratch or on their existing platform.<p>- 60+ of crypto landscape slowly dies, unless it manages to create some strong real world usage.<p>- RUS vs UKR war still going stong-ish in June.
Surely you meant 2023?<p>Short answer for 2023 with very high certainty:<p>* More crypto regulations will be introduced with at least one exchange going down in 2023.<p>* Startups MUST now turn a healthy growing profit to qualify for further VC investment rather than from pure hype.<p>* OpenAI will gain further investment, ChatGPT by then will become a paid service with some startups fully sitting on top of the OpenAI API will also raise their prices or shut down.<p>Long answer for beyond 2023: [0]<p>Either way, OpenAI wins. Unless there is a open-source GPT4 or ChatGPT implementation that surpasses OpenAI's model.<p>[0] <a href="https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21926473" rel="nofollow">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21926473</a>
There was already a 2023 thread today, and one earlier as well<p><a href="https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34196161" rel="nofollow">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34196161</a><p>2033 prediction, I think there will be big changes in global order and we'll (the west) have (further) abandoned liberal democracy and be much close to what China is today<p>Possibly secession and flight to Texas and Florida, and western Canada
I think Dave Barry had a joke set of predictions every year that was things like<p>--turmoil in the MidEast<p>--January's new movie releases disappoint<p>--Major hollywood star caught on camera eating in a restaurant<p>--a film staring quadrupeds a hit with childrens audience<p>--a surprise bestseller by middle aged english professor at a small liberal arts college features ruminiations on the mid-life crisis of a middle aged english professor at a small liberal arts college<p>etc
- Stock market continues to go down.<p>- Home prices tumbles.<p>- Employment rates drop further.<p>- Major recession starts.<p>- GPT4 let us know what data was used for answering our questions.