I heavily disagree with this article. While most of the predictions have come "true", few of them have come to pass in a massively accessible way that I'm sure was the dream.<p>"Prediction: Everyone from architects to dressmakers will be able to make simulations of products - in 3-D."<p>This hasn't come true. While we have the CAD software needed to design objects and simulations in 3D, most are too expensive and require far too much training for just anyone to pick up and use.<p>"Prediction: Any artist will be able to do super-sophisticated animation or create images that look real."<p>Not true either. Not any artist, our software is FAR too difficult to use for that. An artist with months, if not YEARS of training, working in a large, well-funded team, yes, but 3D animation tools are FAR from the reach of the average person. I believe they envisioned software that understood the needs of the user so well that it would be a no-brainer to use.<p>My main impression from this article is that while we have made many things possible in the last 20 years, very little of it is accessible to the layman, and that is the greatest tragedy of the software industry I believe, the fact that we have all of this capable still locked up in confusing command-line applications. Nobody cares about usability, nobody cares about putting together something Joe the Plumber can use.