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Will the Collapse of SVB End the LLM Hype Bubble?

2 pointsby patientplatypusabout 2 years ago
So, question. Given that SVB has collapsed, will this mean that all of the funding for firms that are the chatGPT/stablediffusion versions of pets.com will implode? How much money has the VC/tech industry invested in tertiary firms that are using this technology as a simple plugin to an arbitrary optimization problem? Does anyone have any hard numbers?

2 comments

PaulHouleabout 2 years ago
No.<p>This library can have a Python dev up and running in a few minutes<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;huggingface.co&#x2F;docs&#x2F;transformers&#x2F;quicktour" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;huggingface.co&#x2F;docs&#x2F;transformers&#x2F;quicktour</a><p>It supports 13 applications of transformers and <i>text generation is only one of them</i>!<p>I have been working on text classification on and off for 18 years, for the most part systems better than ‘bag of words’ have been elusive. I was working at a startup maybe 5 years ago where the technology was not ready and today it is.<p>You see some blog post where somebody writes a prompt for ChatGPT that makes it do a task with 70% accuracy; often I show a simpler model (cheap to run on my own computer) 1000 examples (a day of work) and I am getting well above 90%. It is true that ChatGPT is a superhuman bullshitter, and it attracts the same simpleminded and indolent folks that were attracted to NFTs but there are a lot of people doing amazing things with transformers and not talking about it because they don’t want competition.
anigbrowlabout 2 years ago
I don&#x27;t know; are many of these the beneficiaries of funding largesse, or is everyone rushing to create an &#x27;AI powered dog washing startup&#x27; (to use someone else&#x27;s colorful descriptor) in hopes of racking up users and then turning those numbers into some cold hard cash?<p>I don&#x27;t think LLM progress&#x2F;excitement&#x2F;hype is going to slow down significantly. They&#x27;re a breakthrough of the type that only comes along once a decade or two and leads to a phase change. What&#x27;s happening in AI now resembles the social media landscape back in the early 2000s.