I was just thinking about how the timeline could play out:<p>1 year from now, GPT-5 or equivalent is released<p>2 years from now, a more promising LLM architecture XXX is discovered<p>3 years from now, the new XXX architecture is productionized<p>4 years from now, XXX V2 is released<p>5 years from now, anyone that weren't already scared, are now in complete panic after seeing XXX V2's reasoning abilities. World leaders commence to discuss and plan the banning of unlicensed AI research. Access to non-trivial amounts of GPU resources are restricted, research now has to be approved by the government.<p>What happens after, I'm not sure.
It's not going to happen.<p>I am not into transhumanism. Modifying humans genetics.<p>But guess what, there will always be a country that allows it to get a competitive advantage.<p>If the US ban LLM. China, Korea, Russia will probably not. And so the US won't either.