I wonder if TheRinger can afford him. My impression is that sites like 538, Grantland, Andscape, etc don’t make any money for Disney, so this isn’t too surprising.
Very curious where he goes, if it'll be back somewhere mainstream like NYT, or if it'll be independent on Substack, or somewhere else more alternative/indie like Vox.<p>Also a shame he can't take the FiveThirtyEight trademark with him. He can take his models, but not the brand. Still, his own name "Nate Silver" seems to have just as much recognition as "FiveThirtyEight" so he'll do just fine.
Somewhat related: The problem with Nate Silver and most others in this game is they don't treat the statistics they show as random variables. I want to see confidence intervals for all statistics. They just show 'Chance of winning is X" instead what they need to so is 'Change of winning is between X and Y'. It's such a simple change I'm shocked nobody does it including Nate Silver.<p>It's all what I call 'pop statistics' at this point and IMO hurts the public and democracy.
Ad based media/journalism is hopeless. Stuff behind a paywall maybe can survive if you cater to a specific audience (politics junkies, businesses). The vast majority of journalism though will be explicitly public relations and a defacto wing of an economic entity.
I'm surprised to learn that Disney owned FiveThirtyEight and also that they kept Nate Silver afloat for that long. Dude's credibility was shattered after 2016 - a master of proving that getting high on your own fumes makes you high.