Humans will not be able to compete with AI in realtime military conflicts.<p>AI performance will continue to accelerate so that it is 10, 100+ times human thinking speed. Leading edge LLMs (in particular GPT-4) show a large degree of generality. Systems like those developed by DeepMind show incredible flexibility and performance in strategic simulations, already much faster than humans.<p>It seems unlikely that an ordinary treaty can prevent this deployment. Unless militaries decide not to continue developing or deploying strategy and tactics anymore.<p>We have global instantaneous communications, nearly universal translation, plenty of context to move beyond racism and Social Darwinism, and every opportunity now to resolve our geopolitical differences.<p>If not, it is likely that AI will eventually solve them for us.
The russians did what the article described decades ago.<p>It’s almost as though they watched Dr Strangelove, and said “that’s a great idea; we’ll even keep it secret to improve its effectiveness as a deterrent, just like in the movie!”