I don't understand all these articles that base their argument on total replacement of the writers, or whichever profession. The true value in the current AI is augmentation of the user's abilities. A writer that was able to write one story can now write multiple stories given the same time. AI will change the way writer's work, that's an absolute truth, and therefore be a success as far as saving money. What I suspect will happen is that we'll see a lot of average scripts that will have a sameness about them. The diamonds will be even harder to find. We are seeing some of that play out with music. Music has had a lot of automation introduced into it over the last few decades which has made modern songs very similar to each other in each genre. I suspect we'll see the same happen to the writing of scripts.
I disagree with lots of this. They are making many iffy assumptions about the future AI as if its not going to change, when <i>current</i> AI not even optimized and architected for interactive storytelling are already doing a surprisingly good job<p>They are also discounting the value of interactivity.<p>And of course GPT4 or Pygmalion are not going to write a coherent story... just like they aren't going to write coherent code. But they are already decent assistants for filling in blanks.<p>But this is the actual bit that worries me:<p>> Will people watch a certain degree of regurgitated nonsense they’ve seen before? Sure, to a point.<p>Oh, they absolutely will, for a long time. In the short term, I am <i>very</i> worried producers will trade quality for volume even more than they already do. Why gamble on a hit when you can market 200 stinkers for the same cost?
What people want from entertainment is to be told where benevolent moral authority begins and ends, a story just requires potential for mass appeal and surprise.<p>It's hard for those of weaker constitutions to admit there is no alchemy to story writing / charisma from the perspective of the story teller and conman. They prefer to believe in soul and muse than dig deeper.<p>The wishful thinking Entertainment industry has landed on this fake news about individual AI bros wanting to watch themselves as heroes in hollywood's oh-so-valuable existing films as if that door slamming zinger lands. The desperation, if there is any, is for AI to create novel IP and scenarios in underserved genres like Chrome Lords: Cyberpunk Egypt not for stale content deepfakes. AI bros cause "creatives" major concern because they might find the typical western audience actually worthy of inspiration above all.<p>The most entertaining thing you'll see until AI is in every niche will be watching the old guard cat herders try to collar cultural relevancy again. And I really don't think they mind that, all glory to weakness.