I'm interested in doing some research on the long-term outlook of a few programming languages and technologies, and am wondering if there is a de-facto place, or a few places, to go for this information.<p>I know the Stack Overflow developer survey can be pretty good to understand what's happening now, but I'm more curious about long term projections.<p>Is this information available anywhere?
"Long term projections" meaning, projecting a language's popularity in a decade or so?<p>The SO developer survey and others [0] [1] [2] have been around long enough to notice trends, but projection - whether in economics, sports, or the weather - is of course about much more than trends.<p>Personally I would seek out the advice of as many trusted greybeards as I had access to; experience counts more than math and statistics. Also, if your research is for the purpose of guiding current decisions (you didn't say this explicitly but I picked up an implicit need) be aware of black swan events [3].<p>[0] <a href="https://www.jetbrains.com/lp/devecosystem-2022/" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https://www.jetbrains.com/lp/devecosystem-2022/</a><p>[1] <a href="https://redmonk.com/sogrady/2023/05/16/language-rankings-1-23/" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https://redmonk.com/sogrady/2023/05/16/language-rankings-1-2...</a><p>[2] <a href="https://www.codingdojo.com/blog/top-programming-languages" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https://www.codingdojo.com/blog/top-programming-languages</a><p>[3] <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory</a>