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Research as a Stochastic Decision Process

2 pointsby Lucover 1 year ago

1 comment

082349872349872over 1 year ago
Someone (I had thought it was MJD, but uncle GOOG is not pulling it up on his blog) once told a story about how software estimation was a bit like transfinite recursion on ordinal numbers: sometimes you have an estimate in ℕ, and it&#x27;s possible to say &quot;I&#x27;ll be done in 5 days, give or take&quot;, but sometimes your estimate is above omega, and the best you can do is tell someone who asks &quot;Right now, I don&#x27;t know how long it&#x27;ll take, but come back in 5 days (give or take) and then I can tell you&quot;.<p>(and it wasn&#x27;t JDH, either: closest I get there is <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;jdh.hamkins.org&#x2F;transfinite-nim&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;jdh.hamkins.org&#x2F;transfinite-nim&#x2F;</a> )