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Ask HN: Why is everyone so optimistic about the economy?

3 pointsby moose_manabout 1 year ago
In the last two weeks there have been some ominous events. Are these not as big a deal as they seem to me?<p>https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.barrons.com&#x2F;articles&#x2F;bank-of-america-stock-bond-losses-97bf300e<p>https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.ph&#x2F;Q46oB<p>https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.bloomberg.com&#x2F;news&#x2F;articles&#x2F;2024-04-03&#x2F;business-bankruptcies-jump-as-slow-wave-of-failure-speeds-up<p>https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.ph&#x2F;BDm4W<p>https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.bloomberg.com&#x2F;news&#x2F;articles&#x2F;2024-03-30&#x2F;clo-managers-fret-altice-downgrade-may-trigger-wider-selloff-of-riskiest-bonds<p>https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.ph&#x2F;4ElrO<p>https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.wsj.com&#x2F;finance&#x2F;banking&#x2F;banks-are-extending-office-loans-are-they-also-pretending-f62ddd80<p>https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.ph&#x2F;WQ6XL<p>https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.bloomberg.com&#x2F;news&#x2F;articles&#x2F;2024-03-19&#x2F;real-estate-pain-is-showing-up-in-collateralized-loan-obligations-clos<p>https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.ph&#x2F;Wc92Q

2 comments

dexwizabout 1 year ago
We are in a correction period, so some bad things will happen. Journalism loves the superlative right now, so any headline tends to be scary. What would be more concerning? Some announced losses, or a lies about how &quot;everything is fine?&quot; In the long term, a short term correction isn&#x27;t terrible. People held their breath for years about the next downturn, and it is almost a relief that it is here.<p>We are also gearing up for proxy wars, the first ones have already started. There will be some amount of economic squeeze in order to motivate recruits and workers. I don&#x27;t support such actions, but it doesn&#x27;t change reality.
ungreased0675about 1 year ago
At least some of it is because it’s election season.
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