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The World’s $100T Fiscal Timebomb Keeps Ticking

30 pointsby mfiguiere7 months ago

7 comments

jxf7 months ago
The idea of the &quot;world debt level&quot; being alarming doesn&#x27;t make a lot of sense to me. There isn&#x27;t anyone else we _could_ owe money to, right? I&#x27;m not educated enough in global finance to have a useful opinion in this, but imagine the following scenario:<p><pre><code> * Country A owes $100M to Country B * Country B owes $100M to Country C * Country C owes $100M to Country A </code></pre> Here, the &quot;world debt level&quot; is $300M. But if country C pays $100M to country A, who then pays it to country B, who then pays it to country C, you&#x27;ll have settled all three debts and no net money changed hands.<p>If you multiplied all the debts here by a factor of 1,000,000, you&#x27;d get a &quot;$100T fiscal timebomb&quot; for each country. But how much of a big deal is that in this hypothetical scenario when they don&#x27;t, on a net basis, actually owe any money at all?
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mannyv7 months ago
Overall, the US is doing things that were supposed to be impossible a few decades ago. And Treasury keeps printing money. More importantly, the debt markets are relatively healthy.<p>Nobody talks about &#x27;crowding out&#x27; anymore.<p>I don&#x27;t follow monetary policy anymore, but I do know this era is unique and the old rules really don&#x27;t apply anymore. The fact is, there aren&#x27;t really any good places to put your money except for the US, and the Us is taking full advantage of that.
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_sys491527 months ago
I dont see how the US dosent hyperinflate its way out of its issues.
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iyn7 months ago
<a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.ph&#x2F;vALFM" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.ph&#x2F;vALFM</a>
bloated50487 months ago
What if... governments just wait for people, they owe money to, to die of old age..?
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paulpauper7 months ago
Maybe this time is different for real, but people make this sort of prediction or warning every year for as long as I can remember. Meanwhile, the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq have consistently posted annual double-digit real returns. So what? What do we do with this information? Yeah, there is a lot of debt, but the economy is bigger too.
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yayitswei7 months ago
What&#x27;s up with Germany?
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