Prediction: This sale won't happen, in fact, no sale will happen.<p>The idea that a TikTok ban was signed into law will be quietly forgotten. IMO, that's been the strategy of ByteDance.<p>Just ignore the law because US politics is very fickle and moves on quickly to the next news cycle.<p>If the executive does not enforce it, then the law is just toilet paper.
Besides the fact that this would give Amazon access to more data to train multimodal models, an area where they are lacking compared to Google/Meta, I don't see a good synergy here. It seems reminiscent of the Twitch acquisition where it became obvious through the years that they had no real plan for it besides "hey we can synergize because AWS".
TikTok platform is not the same as it was in 2020. The creator ecosystem really dried up when they changed the algorithm and suddenly it was very hard to go viral.<p>I don't see TikTok being that valuable. There is a Lemon8 app that ByteDance came out with that feels like a fusion of TikTok and a Vlog, but it doesn't get nearly the traffic the 2020 version of TikTok did.