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America is going through its every-80-year reinvention

4 pointsby Brajeshwarabout 2 months ago

2 comments

techpineappleabout 2 months ago
Seems like a retelling of the fourth turning, don&#x27;t see the book mentioned here:<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.amazon.com&#x2F;Fourth-Turning-Here-Seasons-History-ebook&#x2F;dp&#x2F;B0BHTNV8HN?ref_=ast_author_dp_rw&amp;dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.EvBbcaSud-OFl809wMoU964JHHuXukfsiSZ9pafEmO_6A0uyMg6M8PX9YiwzpRn3IW7jxBkdtulZsmkQGn598p063kI2FjIJVLfEE2jNbf6bFP-mwLF1nIM3W03it6oP3coBGqQmA7M4iB_nMJRH-2NfO8y_9x8H6yJC-vFacufnZ9dTqf_N6QTkFfET058Y.0dJBIT52RkuiIMx2Y3E4rX6wn0P8jIGeSDRgtFsyioA&amp;dib_tag=AUTHOR" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.amazon.com&#x2F;Fourth-Turning-Here-Seasons-History-e...</a><p>These ways of finding patterns, are always interesting, but also usually flawed by like all of the things left out.<p>&quot;This juncture (civil war) is the best one to drive home the point about why political passions run so high at these historic moments: They mark fundamental system changes, and the stakes are extremely high, particularly for those on the side of the system that has to die.&quot;<p>We&#x27;re there political passions in the 1945&#x27;s? Seems like there we&#x27;re greater political passions and divisions in the 1960&#x27;s an 1970&#x27;s, halfway through his theory.<p>There seems to be this idea that what, maybe AI is the next technological explosion 80 years after the end of ww2, but I&#x27;d argue we just got out of a technological explosion of the computer age&#x2F;the internet.<p>My flawed cycles theory is: I&#x27;d cut all these theories in half. I sort of theorize maybe a 40 year cycle. bottom-up civil rights action, (20&#x27;s,60&#x27;s). Top-down backlash and economic instability (30&#x27;s70&#x27;s) economic deregulation and push (40&#x27;s? , 80&#x27;s) and then optimisim (50&#x27;s&#x2F;90&#x27;s).<p>In this model, I think we&#x27;re headed into the 70&#x27;s (backlash and economic instability)
FrankWilhoitabout 2 months ago
This time the nihilists are in charge. Nothing will be rebuilt because the will, the knowledge, and the resources do not exist.