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Is runaway AI coming in years or decades?

2 pointsby epi0Bauqu14 days ago

2 comments

incomingpain14 days ago
Already here; already in use.<p>If you had this, you wouldnt make it public. You would use it for as long as you can get away with it.<p>I very much doubt any government is the one to achieve it. It&#x27;s not a cold war type issue.<p>OpenAI for example with stargate, 500 billion $ with softbank, oracle, and mgx. 10 datacenters all over the world.<p>But for what? They already have datacenters processing their load. What exactly is this new capacity for? That&#x27;s an awful lot of power and silicon for no perceivable need.<p>It&#x27;s for their AGI or whatever you want to call it.
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apothegm14 days ago
Both.<p>We’ll see some horror stories in the next few years about paperclip maximizers sent about their business without proper constraints —- but they won’t be general intelligence. Just current-generation agents someone thought would be capable of much more judgment than they are. And their scope of action may be damaging but will be limited.<p>Runaway AGI requires that we _have_ AGI and I’d posit we’re still decades away from that.
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