TE
TechEcho
Home24h TopNewestBestAskShowJobs
GitHubTwitter
Home

TechEcho

A tech news platform built with Next.js, providing global tech news and discussions.

GitHubTwitter

Home

HomeNewestBestAskShowJobs

Resources

HackerNews APIOriginal HackerNewsNext.js

© 2025 TechEcho. All rights reserved.

$100 Invested in 100 $1 Lottery Tickets

17 pointsby magikbumalmost 13 years ago

3 comments

csensealmost 13 years ago
You should look at EV (expected value), not odds of winning.<p>Here are some cautions:<p>(1) A decent amount of the EV for lottery tickets is likely in large prizes, and your return will be quite variable unless the number of tickets you buy is about the same magnitude as the odds of winning the rarest prizes<p>(2) Win tables don't count taxes, but your actual winnings will be taxed if large; so your effective EV (including taxes) will be less<p>(3) +EV lottery tickets are theoretically possible for "jackpot" lotteries like powerball if you only play when the jackpot is sufficiently large, but see (1) and (2) before you conclude it's a way to make free money.
评论 #4399858 未加载
JonLimalmost 13 years ago
Something I wish they took into account was diversity in locations. I'm not sure it would matter, but buying ALL 100 tickets from the same store is probably not the same odds as buying them in chunks from different stores.<p>My thinking is: lottery ticket producers will never produce 100 winning tickets in a row, but they will most likely produce many losing tickets in a row because they expect, at most, 3-5 being bought at once.<p>But I could be just out of my element.
评论 #4399716 未加载
anomonymalmost 13 years ago
haha -59% is a horrible rate of return. not an investment i'll be making any time soon.