While I firmly believe that one helps 'make their own luck', saying that chance/luck/fate/what-have-you plays <i>no</i> role is silly at best.<p>At worst, it tends to convince 'winners' that they had almost everything to do with their victories, and correspondingly that the 'losers' also bear almost all of the blame for their defeats. It's easy to say that someone should have simply worked harder when you didn't notice that they had to work hard simply to escape the grasp of bad luck and circumstance to limp to the starting line...
So the OP says that a lot of little experiences add up to being able to divine the tiger in the brush.<p>My question is, how do you get that sixth sense? As far as I can tell, there's no shortcut. You have to do a lot of things, and see a lot of different scenarios, and get burned along the way. The only one I can think of is to talk in confidence with people more experienced than you in a particular arena as scenarios arise.<p>Has anyone else found another way to build or harness a sixth sense that the OP is talking about?
"The more you know, the more luck you have."<p><a href="http://quoteinvestigator.com/2010/07/14/luck/" rel="nofollow">http://quoteinvestigator.com/2010/07/14/luck/</a>
Luck is not a factor.. except when it comes to getting hired by your dream company, getting venture capital, getting acquired, and getting a hot girl to say "Yes".