For the people outside of this world like me, a March Madness Bracket [0] is a classical grid of a championship involving US basketball teams.<p>[0] <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/March_Madness_pools#Brackets" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/March_Madness_pools#Brackets</a>
I've always been curious how many actually unique brackets get submitted to the major bracket places. I'd imagine there's about 5,000-10,000 unique brackets that cover 99% of the people.<p>It's the one feature I'd love to be able to see is if I have submitted a 100% unique bracket on my own.
Was going to sign up (because why not?), but then I didn't like some of the questions they're asking me.<p><a href="https://tournament.fantasysports.yahoo.com/quickenloansbracket/challenge/" rel="nofollow">https://tournament.fantasysports.yahoo.com/quickenloansbrack...</a>
Hate to be the skeptic, but what's to guarantee that the winner will distribute the winnings evenly? It's not like the site has any official connection to the contest.
wow this is amazing haha!<p>when you say "statistically best bracket choices", does that mean you're applying a prior on the guesses?<p>If yes, could you give us some more details on how you're arriving at the best way to spread our guesses?<p>My colleague was doing some work on sports betting and remarked how the current odds are actually really good predictors for the outcomes.<p>cool idea well done :)
The idea is nice, but the statistical odds are against you. Say you have a 50% chance of picking it right each time. With the play in games, you have a 1 in 4 chance of getting those right. With the regular 32 games, you would need to get all of them right, or 1 in 2^32. With the next 16 games, you would need to get 2^16 correct. Then 2^8, 2^4, 2^2, and then 2^1.<p>Multiply them all together, you get 1 / (2^2 * 2^32 * 2^16 * 2^8 * 2^4 * 2^2 * 2^1) = 1 / (2^65)...crazy small odds.