Users 1 and 15's charts make no sense - they have to be special system accounts of some sort. My guess is that #15 is the account that receives trading fees, and #1 represents MtGox itself (or some specific aspect of MtGox, such as its cold-storage).<p>There're still a lot of points on these plots that don't make sense, though; generally they look like vertical stripes labelled as sets of small sell orders, both far below and far above the market price. User 30 has what looks like a large sell (in Mar 2013) far above the highest-ever price. So either MtGox's order-matching is way more broken than anyone ever knew (unlikely), or these actually represent fees, withdraws, or something similar, and the y-axis position is meaningless.<p>Also worthy of note is that massive sell order by user 1 in Nov 2013. That's hard to interpret without knowing what the dots on that graph really mean (I doubt they're trades), but it's likely significant.
The biggest take away from this is that bots were driving the price up, and preventing its fall.<p>"Bots" offer a lot of stability to the market because they don't react to bad news. Though an error can cause "flash crashes" As happened in May of 2010 on the stock market.<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Flash_Crash" rel="nofollow">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Flash_Crash</a>
I love seeing the mostly red charts, looks like people that mined a lot. check #145 and #180.
These people are selling at exponential curves on a log plot... mind blowing.
Very cool. Important to realize the graphs are on a log scale... threw me for a loop for a second before I noticed.<p>Could one of these graphs represent the activity of Willy[0]?<p>As an aside, I experienced a nice bit of schadenfreude when looking at a lot of the graphs from ~250 to ~299<p>[0] <a href="https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=497289.0" rel="nofollow">https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=497289.0</a>
This is really beautiful. It's an amazing amount of information to be borne (almost) purely visually.<p>My favorite is 117. They are the Devon Sawa in Final Destination of Bitcoin.
Any theories on user 15?<p>The amount of money lost is a little easier to get your head around when you see so many traders buying at relatively high prices towards the end.
Fun stuff. Bryan if this is your site can you add to the plot in the corner a dot with net value change? Assume that all bitcoin "held" are currently worthless, so a holding of 10 btc at the end would be -10*last sale price recorded on the exchange. That would give an interesting idea of which traders "won" the game and which "lost."
I’m not sure I understand the difference between the green Selling BitCoins (to get Dollars, presumably) and Buying Dollars (by selling BitCoins, also presumably).<p>I’m even more puzzled by the rates out of trade: did MtGox allowed traders to agree one-on-one on their own rates? That would allow a lot more laundering than any theft.<p>Missing too are relative size of the traders.
1-45 is interesting when compared to 15. Others mentioned this may be a bug in data interpretation or a GOX account, but if you look at all of the high volume traders you can see horizontal striations that correlate with user15.