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The Computer Revolution Has yet to Happen

100 点作者 brucehauman超过 9 年前

13 条评论

IIAOPSW超过 9 年前
I&#x27;m going to say something a bit controversial here.<p>Most people are not creative. Its true. There isn&#x27;t some horde of people who want to program but don&#x27;t know it yet because they own a tablet instead of a computer. There isn&#x27;t some horde of musicians that will never know it because their music comes from an mp3 instead of their own instrument. There isn&#x27;t some horde of artists who will never know it because their images come from a camera instead of owning a paintbrush. Heck even on a web-forum where contributing content is as low friction as sharing links, only ~10% of users do it. And only 10% of that 10% actually make the content that&#x27;s posted. 90% of people are happy to passively consume content.<p>I wish the author were right. I wish there was this huge hidden demand for a real computer revolution. I still think that when I buy a device I should actually own it (which entails freedom to modify). But let&#x27;s face it idealistic nerd types. We lost. Most people are consumers not creators. Get over it, go to work, program <i>for</i> them, and wipe away your tears with a stack of money.
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ised超过 9 年前
To the author: I could not agree more. In the long term history of computing, I would hope this stage we are in now is not the height of the &quot;revolution&quot;.<p>In my humble opinion, to which I am entitled, current Apple hardware is still well-designed like the Apple hardware of the past, but none of it resembles a &quot;bicycyle for the mind&quot;.<p>These phones and tablets are &quot;computers&quot; but are programmable only by permission; they are consumption instruments that are meant to support some plan to dominate the communications, media, entertainment industries. Not my idea of a programmable, pocket-sized, networked computer.<p>All due respect to Apple and their wild commercial success, but looking to the future, I get more excited about my RPi or Teensy than I do about my Apple devices.<p>I have little interest in paying for a license to a bloated, complex, proprietary IDE (Xcode) and seeking approval from an &quot;app store&quot; when I can write ARM assembly from a netbook or laptop using a free and open source assembler and run it instantly on the RPi.<p>The revolution is yet to come. I hope. kparc.com&#x2F;o.htm
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kemiller超过 9 年前
I think minecraft fits the bill pretty well actually. Kids make all kinds of things in there, and it&#x27;s not fragile in the way traditional programming is.<p>The article sort of gets hung up on form factor. Tablets are yet another window into the universe of computing, and there&#x27;s a lot of creation happening.<p>I suspect that the real promised land will need VR for Lego-like construction of components and&#x2F;or AI-assisted compilers enabling a sort of DWIM programming. As it is programming is just too fragile to be of interest to the &quot;laity.&quot;
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MCRed超过 9 年前
I grew up before the generation of kids who booted into basic-- I started programming with a soldering iron. I designed my first computer. Then I designed a video card for it. Then I had to write a BIOS for it.<p>Here&#x27;s the reality though, Hypercard was a failure. People didn&#x27;t use BASIC on the Apple II. some did, sure, but most didn&#x27;t.<p>Most people are not programmers and not programming inclined. Apple gives away the tools you need to build software for your iPad or iPHone-- in the form of Xcode which is FREE FOR EVERYONE to use. It&#x27;s one of the best tools out there-- when Microsoft was still charging thousands a year, Apple put theirs out for free (and of course, these days Linux and GCC and Ruby on Rails and the whole programming tradition of open source puts even more tools in people&#x27;s hands.)<p>But heres the thing. Most people don&#x27;t care. It&#x27;s never been a better time to be a programmer.<p>But the vast majority of people don&#x27;t want to be.
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ntumlin超过 9 年前
In my opinion the most powerful and useful thing a computer does isn&#x27;t flappy birds or finding massive primes, but allowing people to communicate more easily. Everything the computer does on top of letting people tell things to other people half way across at world at the speed of light (or close enough) is just icing on the cake.
corv超过 9 年前
There are many more people capable of programming their devices nowadays but I&#x27;d wager there&#x27;s less programmers to each user now.
agumonkey超过 9 年前
Here&#x27;s my newest favorite computer <a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;museum.mit.edu&#x2F;150&#x2F;19" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;museum.mit.edu&#x2F;150&#x2F;19</a>
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joelg超过 9 年前
For the record, the title was taken from the title of AKay&#x27;s 1997 OOPSLA keynote, which is well worth a watch.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.youtube.com&#x2F;watch?v=oKg1hTOQXoY" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.youtube.com&#x2F;watch?v=oKg1hTOQXoY</a>
bobby_9x超过 9 年前
more than a minority of specialists?<p>All of the software, apps, and services out there should tell you that it&#x27;s more than this.<p>I&#x27;ve seen multiple articles talking about people as young as 10 years old creating apps. This wasn&#x27;t possible in the 80s and 90s.<p>I&#x27;m still not sure why adblock was thrown in there. It has only made it more difficult for indy sites and thw average person to make money and is helping to create an environment where only large corporations can survive.<p>The same revolution happened with the music industry: unless you are signed to a major label, it will not pay the bills.
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mercer超过 9 年前
As a programmer and tinkerer (hacker?) I cannot agree more with the sentiment of the article. And what follows is not a direct response to article, which I found surprisingly positive altogether, but more of a general rumination on my own relationship with &#x27;computers&#x27; and what I often see happening among my peers as well.<p>I think it&#x27;s important not to only see things as a &#x27;computer specialist&#x27;, especially if that perspective (perhaps rightfully) can lead to pessimism these days.<p>Throughout my childhood, the main reason why computers excited me was the promise of realizing all the sci-fi stuff I read about and saw on television: tricorders, virtual reality, video communication, voice- and touch-interfaces, zoom-in-and-enhance high-resolution maps, instant access to the knowledge of the world through some kind of AI (all voice-enabled, obviously).<p>And now, all these things actually exist (to a <i>large</i> degree), and in a device that I carry in my pocket!<p>The child that I was did not for the most part care about <i>building</i> these tools, or being about the <i>modify</i> and <i>inspect</i> them. He cared about <i>using</i> them. And he&#x27;s excited about the immense progress in what feels like a very short time.<p>This adult that I am, meanwhile, has a tendency to instead mostly complain about wifi-issues, siri not picking up on my commands, inability to install flux on my phone, app crashes, the new Google Maps interface, dropped Skype calls, the state of front-end development, and so on.<p>However justified that may be, I&#x27;ve found that focusing on what that kid wants and overcoming the issues that stand in the way has been a much better motivator than focusing on that adult.<p>To name a specific example. Based on the articles and discussions here I sometimes feel a bit... sad that I&#x27;ve mostly been working in web development since coming of age. Apparently we&#x27;re reinventing the wheel badly, javascript is a pretty bad or at best mediocre language, html&#x2F;css are terrible because they were not intended for app development, npm is a shitty package manager, and so on. Sometimes I even start feeling nostalgic for the good old days by proxy.<p>But then, when I finish a little journalling&#x2F;project logging tool that scratches a personal itch, and I can instantly release that to the web and let my brother play around with it, or when I write a little bookmarklet that allows me to fold&#x2F;unfold&#x2F;upvote HN comments using the letters on my keyboard, well, then I feel good again.<p>Because then I remember that not that long ago I wrote a game in Delphi. It required trying to figure out how to so something based on random computer magazines and a single Delphi for Dummies book, it required waiting days for help from some dude in Florida who thankfully was happy to assist me. It required putting the game on a floppy disk and hoping that as it was passed along to my dad and his colleagues, it would somehow get into the hands of others.<p>That&#x27;s when I get excited again about working with computers, and the progress we&#x27;ve made. And that&#x27;s the mindset that makes it easier for me to try and think about ways to get my younger siblings and others as excited about <i>building</i> and <i>tinkering</i> as I am.
kordless超过 9 年前
<i>The Computer Revolution Happens</i>, would be a better subject to discuss. This isn&#x27;t something that is going to quit happening one day. It&#x27;ll never stop happening.
tejapr超过 9 年前
Indeed.<p>I am particularly excited about Intel&#x2F;Micron&#x27;s 3D xpoint technology, which will be on sale next year. Extrapolating the exponential rate of improvement in storage technologies, I wouldn&#x27;t be surprised if we had persistent TB storage at SRAM speeds by 2040.
zepto超过 9 年前
This is gibberish. The programming tools on the iPad are already quite powerful - far better than those old basic powered micros.<p>There is also no reason to believe that XCode or the equivalent will not come to iOS now that the devices are nearly performant enough.<p>As far as a completely open system like Smalltalk goes - that was a wonderful world which I wish we lived in, but we don&#x27;t - not because of Apple, but because of malware, black-hats, and cyberwarfare.
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