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Analyzing 10,000 Show HN Submissions

96 点作者 anton_tarasenko大约 9 年前

7 条评论

minimaxir大约 9 年前
A large amount of Show HNs are not startups; they are personal projects.<p>Relatedly, using &quot;the startup is not dead&quot; as a metric for <i>the startup alive</i> is a bad idea. People do not shut down everything when a Hacker News submission does not get upvotes (<i>especially</i> in the case of Show HN, where many are hosted on GitHub pages and are free to host, although you account for that in the regression).<p>The regression has a few issues:<p>&gt; It&#x27;s a classification problem (alive or dead) so OLS doesn&#x27;t make sense.<p>&gt; Score and Comments are multicolinear and cannot both be in the same model.<p>&gt; You don&#x27;t answer or give statistics toward &quot;how well&quot; the model predicts.<p>&gt; Related to the comment earlier, you don&#x27;t comment on the magnitude of the on_GitHub coefficients, which are <i>huge</i> and skew the entire result of the regression!<p>While I always appreciate analyses of HN data, the conclusions raise more questions than answers.
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timr大约 9 年前
The dataset interpreted my site as dead because it 301 redirected to the SSL connection. This is probably quite common, so take the living&#x2F;dead stats with a grain of salt.
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xando大约 9 年前
This a really great overview.<p>Not complaining, just a note. Those counts are from different points in time of Hacker News. Which means that a chance to get point grows with userbase. Some extreamly popular thing in 2011 can&#x27;t compete with something in 2016.<p>Probably it&#x27;s hard to guess how many user HN got in those time points. But maybe adding section by year could help a bit.<p>Anyway, Anton great job.
deanclatworthy大约 9 年前
How were you able to use the crunchbase data set without paying their high prices?
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joeblau大约 9 年前
Heh, I have 3 projects on that list and I&#x27;m still running two of the three. One was a flappy bird clone in Swift; the other is a Touch Visualizer for iOS and the third is <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.gitignore.io" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.gitignore.io</a>. Pretty interesting analytics; it&#x27;s funny because I&#x27;m in the process of migrating the touch visualizer to a Swift project and a new project owner.
maniyamamoto大约 9 年前
Interesting. Thanks for putting this together!
BinaryIdiot大约 9 年前
I&#x27;m just happy my msngr.js project is in here; the last two or so posts about &quot;Show HN&quot; analysis left it out and it made me mildly sad.