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Employment, construction, and the cost of San Francisco apartments

200 点作者 spenrose大约 9 年前

9 条评论

rayiner大约 9 年前
&gt; It will be very hard. If the (first) model is correct, it would take a <i>53% increase</i> in the housing supply (200,000 new units),<p>Doesn&#x27;t seem that hard in a city full of three-story housing.
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matt_wulfeck大约 9 年前
Building straight into the sky is easy. You&#x27;d be amazed at how earthquake-proof skyscrapers are with modern technology.<p>You want a challenge? Build in a city where you&#x27;re required to post notice any time you cut down a tree on your own property.
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capkutay大约 9 年前
Obligatory reminder: If you care about housing in the Bay Area, register to vote now. Scott Wiener is a housing and transportation advocate running for State Senate in this election.<p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;registertovote.ca.gov&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;registertovote.ca.gov&#x2F;</a><p>Show up to Planning Commission and Board of Supervisor meetings. Participate in public comment. We all talk about how NIMBYs rule SF, it&#x27;s because they show up in full force at these gatherings.
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Gibbon1大约 9 年前
Answering a question, why the decline in rents 1950-1960? Far as I know during WWII the population of the city swelled due to war time industry. After the war people moved to newly created suburbs in Santa Clara and the Peninsula.<p>I&#x27;m unsure but I think my grandparents moved to SF during the 1939-1940 WWII preseason. And by the late forties had moved away.
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busthrow大约 9 年前
SF should work on rezoning some hub areas higher density, and build (lots of) unit blocks. For comparison, I live in a suburb that has had the zoning rules changed to allow for transit-oriented development. Houses are being moved out and being replaced by 5 story apartment blocks. I live in one of those, a 3 minute walk from a busway station.<p>There will probably be 50000 units built in my the city in the near future. However, Brisbane, Australia has twice the population of SF, and a possibly irrational building boom happening though:<p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.abc.net.au&#x2F;news&#x2F;2016-01-27&#x2F;brisbane-to-see-50,000-new-apartments-added-to-skyline-expert&#x2F;7117686" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.abc.net.au&#x2F;news&#x2F;2016-01-27&#x2F;brisbane-to-see-50,000...</a>
ktRolster大约 9 年前
New housing doesn&#x27;t even need to be right in San Francisco. Anywhere along the Peninsula, even Oakland would be good enough, as long as it&#x27;s close enough to public transportation.
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original_idea大约 9 年前
Using a logarithmic scale seems kinda silly. It really detracts from my innate visual ability to understand the topic.
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youngButEager大约 9 年前
Supply and demand.<p>Demand is higher than supply.<p>Everyone in SF knows that and actually seems to <i>not want</i> to increase the supply.<p>Strike that, they want the property tax revenue but only from huge, high-brow luxury apartment build-outs. The City has no problem letting the supply at the high end of the market increase.<p>By stopping any growth in the supply of nominally affordable rentals, the City leadership is pushing people of limited means outside of the city.<p>Let&#x27;s see then if the City&#x27;s limitations to increasing Supply makes sense:<p>1) low-income people -- like it or not, the vast majority of crime is committed by this group -- are pushed out of the city. That reduces crime. Check, makes sense from the City leadership perspective.<p>2) Rent control fools the city&#x27;s renters into voting for more of the same. Landlords cannot profit; take affordable units off the market. Again, the low income types are pushed out of the city. Check. (see #1)<p>3) Also, by putting these mom-and-pop landlords out of business, rent control eliminates a COMPETITOR for the Luxury Apartment developers -- if there are no low-cost apartments to rent, people have no choice but to pay up or get out. Rent control also pushes up rents at the low end as those units go offline&#x2F;out of business&#x2F;converted to condos&#x2F;etc., leaving fewer units available for low income folks.<p>The City is acting in its own best interest to:<p>- limit supply growth of apartments - put mom and pop landlords with affordable units offline - thus eliminating affordable units and the low socio-economic status people who create most of the crime problems from the city<p>And <i>all that</i> pushes up rents to benefit high-property-tax-paying Luxury apartment developers.<p>The City needs as much property tax revenue as they can get.<p>&quot;How do we attract luxury apartment developers to boost the City&#x27;s property tax haul?<p>- eliminate the low-priced competitors -- and even get the voters to approve it -- by imposing rent control<p>- reduce crime so Luxury apartment developers will feel they can attract high-dollar customers<p>- reduce&#x2F;eliminate the creation of new affordable housing<p>SF wants property tax revenue. If you understand the above, you know everything.<p>It&#x27;s not like the City leaders are going to announce their strategy to voters. Too many low-income&#x2F;moderate-income renters here in SF.<p>But you can see the effects: - high rents due to the gradual elimination of mom-and-pop low rent units (they go out of business or convert to condos) - no more low-end Supply allowed to be created - rent control is here to stay (at least until all the low-priced apartments are gone)
dang大约 9 年前
Url changed from <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;medium.com&#x2F;@andersem&#x2F;a-guy-just-transcribed-30-years-of-for-rent-ads-heres-what-it-taught-us-about-sf-housing-prices-bd61fd0e4ef9#.vpoetfkkv" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;medium.com&#x2F;@andersem&#x2F;a-guy-just-transcribed-30-years...</a>, which points to this.
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