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The Dictatorship of the Small Minority by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

39 点作者 randomname2将近 9 年前

6 条评论

sctb将近 9 年前
Recent discussions: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;hn.algolia.com&#x2F;?query=dictatorship%20small%20minority&amp;sort=byPopularity&amp;prefix=false&amp;page=0&amp;dateRange=pastMonth&amp;type=story" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;hn.algolia.com&#x2F;?query=dictatorship%20small%20minorit...</a>
mamurphy将近 9 年前
I didn&#x27;t expect this article to be so long or to have such great examples. The idea that GMO providers should try to convince 100% of the population, not just the majority, was particularly insightful and unexpected.<p>It makes sense, though: if, say 10%, of folks will ONLY eat Organic and the remaining, say 90%, will eat Organic or GMO with equal preference, it makes your supply chain much easier to supply ONLY Organic food while still accessing 100% of the market. If you supply both types, you have a more complex supply chain, and if you supply ONLY GMO, you give up on 10% of the market.
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PaulHoule将近 9 年前
I don&#x27;t see the threat in Kosher, Halal, etc.<p>As a non-Muslim in upstate NY I see Halal meat as a net positive influence. It enables a local alternative supply chain for meat: some restaurants around here sell really delicious meat, often things like lamb and goat you don&#x27;t see every day. Also a lot of non-Muslim farmers can make a living because of this supply chain.
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Mickydtron将近 9 年前
The core insight here, while interesting, ended up being much more generic than I was expecting it to be after the initial examples. It seems to boil down to &quot;There exist mechanisms by which a small group can either grow to dominate a larger group, or have their behavioral norms spread to outside of their group, or otherwise punch above their weight. These mechanisms involve a rule or circumstance that is asymmetric.&quot;<p>It is an interesting principle, and useful to keep in mind, but I do not think it really supports all of the points he makes with it, or justify some of the language used. For example, I do not think that all drinks being Kosher, or a high prevalence of halal butcher shops, merit being described as &quot;dictatorships&quot;. In the examples that would merit such strong language, such as the possibility of an anti-democratic religion dominating a democratic society and culture, I do not think that the Power of Asymmetry Principle leads where he tries to go. Specifically, he says that we need to be &quot;more than intolerant with some intolerant minorities&quot;. However, if we examine the situation while keeping the power of asymmetry in mind, all we need to do is look for the asymmetry that would give this group its power, and take that away. In this case, the ability to use violence to enforce religious rules, specifically the death penalty for apostasy. Without the threat of violence, fundamentalist Islam would look much more like fundamentalist Christianity, trying (with various levels of success) to enforce its norms through political and interpersonal channels, but far from an unstoppable juggernaut.
sytelus将近 9 年前
I&#x27;ve to give it to Taleb to bring some rather fundamental and obvious in hindsight insights to explicit clarity. Although one must not confuse anecdotes with statistics, his writing style is gold.<p><i>The main idea behind complex systems is that the ensemble behaves in way not predicted by the components. The interactions matter more than the nature of the units. Studying individual ants will never (one can safely say never for most such situations), never give us an idea on how the ant colony operates.</i>
squozzer将近 9 年前
Taleb mentions the brilliance of Hannibal but fails to mention the stubborness of the Romans, who never offered terms, even after many defeats.<p>In the end, Rome destroyed Carthage.
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