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Why less competent may rate their own ability higher than more competent

44 点作者 sinc大约 15 年前

8 条评论

elblanco大约 15 年前
Even more disconcerting, it can sometimes be very hard to tell the competent from the incompetent until you have them in the door working for you.<p>I once worked with a guy (not in an engineering discipline) who could talk circles around much more competent people. He knew all the buzz words, and even knew most of the topics about one level deep. When he spoke, he spoke with an absolute air of authority on whatever subject he was talking about. He managed to convince division manager after division manager (he jumped around a lot and it was a very large company) that past failures were just because of circumstances out of his control.<p>However, he didn't actually know <i>anything</i> and every project he was put in charge of either failed disastrously, or was caught from the brink at the last minute by colleagues who worked double shifts to do the project (which of course allowed him to point to those same colleagues as incompetents that he had to deal with on his project and hence the reason for failure).<p>The really sad thing is, I could never figure out if he knew he was grossly incompetent and just spinning things to keep a job far above the level he should have had, or actually believed the yarns he wove about what he knew.
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Groxx大约 15 年前
Not much on "why", just that it exists. The "why" is essentially a re-statement of the situation: illusory superiority and illusory inferiority.<p>A common "why" theory that I personally subscribe to: the less competent don't know enough to know what they don't know.
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RyanMcGreal大约 15 年前
"The best lack all conviction, while the worst / Are full of passionate intensity."
gte910h大约 15 年前
The skill you're looking for here is called meta-knowledge. It is knowledge of your level of knowledge about a given topic.<p>It is a teachable trait, arguably what very selective schools with hard grading curves teaching difficult things teach people to develop (as you have to determine what you don't know to pass/excel/etc there).<p>I've always personally believed the test: "What would you need to get going on these 5 projects?" Is a great question. If talking about researching X Y or Z don't come out of the candidate's mouth (and it's not an old solved problem, like self-contained embedded C code), you mark them down as less meta-knowledgeable. (Doesn't mean unhireable, but you don't want them in highly independent positions or constantly learning new things; people with low meta knowledge appear to actually be quite happy in places that high meta people hate, such as long term maintenance programming).<p>In software particularly, study of estimation (and it's continual use) can teach people the practice of evaluating all risks, including metaknowledge. I like the book: <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Software-Estimation-Demystifying-Practices-Microsoft/dp/0735605351" rel="nofollow">http://www.amazon.com/Software-Estimation-Demystifying-Pract...</a> (non-aff link) for getting people going with the practice.
tokenadult大约 15 年前
HN discussion of posting of same Wikipedia article from 92 days ago:<p><a href="http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1063287" rel="nofollow">http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1063287</a>
padmanabhan01大约 15 年前
Will knowing this concept affect the meta-cognitive ability of a person?<p>Will those that were underestimating their ability start to correctly/over estimate it? i.e if they buy this concept.<p>Will those that were over estimating their abilities before, start to realize they were over estimating?<p>Will those that want to look/sound smart start to fake humility, since underestimating one's ability may give the idea that he is smart?<p>Oh well, ...
known大约 15 年前
There is scientific evidence that social rejection massively reduces the intelligence &#38; injects aggressiveness in kids.<p><a href="http://www.newscientist.com/article.ns?id=dn2051" rel="nofollow">http://www.newscientist.com/article.ns?id=dn2051</a>
c00p3r大约 15 年前
“There are, in effect, two things: to know and to believe one knows. To know is science. To believe one knows is ignorance.”<p>"Their misconception is fueled by the fact that they are completely unaware of their own ignorance. This unawareness or unwillingness to admit their ignorance subconsciously prods them to make (wrong) assumptions in order to fill the void in their knowledge."<p>"Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge."<p>"What we do not understand we do not possess."<p>"We're even wrong about which mistakes we're making."