The biggest problem with Nate Silver was that he was a victim of fake news. He got caught up in the fake news, believing that Trump have no chance.<p>Anybody who actually went to a Trump rally would see with their own eyes, that what Trump said was totally different from what the TVs claimed he said. They could see that the whole media was lying about Trump.<p>If Nate Silver had went to just one Trump rally, he would have seen that too, and he would have known that Trump was going to win. Would have been able to tweak his data set, and would have made a better prediction.