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What Nassim Taleb can teach us

94 点作者 yusufp将近 8 年前

7 条评论

qubex将近 8 年前
I really appreciate his books, <i>The Black Swan</i> and <i>Antifragile</i> particularly, though it does seem to me he&#x27;s set up something of a cottage industry churning the same general idea into a sequence of very similar books. Then again, as long as he has extra stuff to add, and a readership willing to purchase them, I suppose this is utterly acceptable.<p>However, as a person, he seems to be an absolute rabid nutter. At one point he was planning to publish a book of his own aphorisms, as quoted by himself, while he is still alive. He rants and raves on Twitter[1]. Lately he&#x27;s been engaged in an utterly hysterical tirade against a historian about the ethnic diversity (or lack thereof) in Roman Britain... whichever side you take in this at an intellectual level (personally, I&#x27;m more on his side than not), the tone and mode of the conversation as conducted by him is absolutely rabid and unacceptable.<p>[1] Full disclosure: he banned me on Twitter years ago because I fucked up an integral he had posed as a question for followers. Make of this what you will.
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emtel将近 8 年前
Taleb holds that essentially all journalists are fools, and the articles they publish are &quot;noise&quot;. He says &quot;to cure yourself of newspapers, spend a year reading the previous week&#x27;s newspapers&quot;. There&#x27;s wisdom in this: the importance of the news of the day can&#x27;t be immediately apprehended. What seems important at the time can quickly fade into irrelevance. Larger stories are often completely missed or gotten totally wrong.<p>Buuuuuut apparently what Taleb means is that <i>no one but him</i> can figure out the importance of things immediately. The guy tweets, apparently believing that he understands the lasting importance of what he&#x27;s tweeting about. And hey, maybe he does... except, among other things, he&#x27;s in (or was in) a twitter war with JK Rowling!<p>The guy is a loon who has figured a lot of things out, and now believes he knows everything.
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chollida1将近 8 年前
I love Nassim Taleb as an academic and philosopher. I think he has a Peter Thiel like quality of being able to thinking differently, but in a very applicable way.<p>Nassim Taleb the author though I really can&#x27;t get into, and to be fair he&#x27;s had so much success that this is probably my fault.<p>If you want to get the most out of his work then read his medium blog. Most of his pieces are written in easily digestible formats.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;medium.com&#x2F;@nntaleb" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;medium.com&#x2F;@nntaleb</a><p>I&#x27;ve re-started trying to read the Black Swan about 10 times and IMHO if you just read the first 3 chapters then you&#x27;ll get about 95% of what you would if you had read the entire book.<p>I think the problem with his books that I have is that he considers himself not just an author but a modern day philosopher, and with that comes a level of rigor in his writing that brings me back to my measure theory and real analysis courses.<p>If you really want to read his books, then start backwards.<p>Antifragile is awesome, but still very wordy, and builds on top of all his other works. It almost seems to be the culmination of the idea&#x27;s he&#x27;s been writing about since the black Swan.<p>As a side note, for anyone who wants to learn about options trading with a focus on how a trader would view them, ie from a mathematical perspective, then check out one of his first books...... Dynamic Hedging of Options.<p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;ca.wiley.com&#x2F;WileyCDA&#x2F;WileyTitle&#x2F;productCd-0471152803.html" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;ca.wiley.com&#x2F;WileyCDA&#x2F;WileyTitle&#x2F;productCd-0471152803...</a><p>As a second side note........<p>His latest concept of “Skin in the game” is the best form of risk control that we&#x27;ve found for reigning in traders. Once traders are required to<p>1) keep the vast majority of their bonus in the fund for a few years<p>2) take part of their bonus in the form of non liquid securities if they want to hold more than a certain percentage of their portfolio in non liquid assets<p>we have found they pay alot more attention to the liquidity of their portfolio and the long term profitability of their portfolio, both of which are good for the long term success of the fund.
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maxthegeek1将近 8 年前
Jeff Deist, the author of this article is a crypto white nationalist. You can pick up a hint of this from the article above,<p>&quot;He understands that globalism is not liberalism, that identity and culture matter&quot;<p>A quote from another article,<p>&quot;Jeff Deist, President of the Ludwig von Mises Institute, a right-libertarian think tank for promoting Rothbardian anarcho-capitalism and the Austrian School of economics, said of the Alt-right that he found their writings &quot;interesting...and somewhat refreshing&quot;.[20] In 2017, Deist concluded a speech at the Mises Institute titled &#x27;For a New Libertarian&#x27; with the words, &quot;In other words, blood and soil and God and nation still matter to people. Libertarians ignore this at the risk of irrelevance.&quot;[21]<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Paleolibertarianism#United_States" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Paleolibertarianism#United_Sta...</a><p>Note that &quot;blood and soil&quot; refers to the nazi phrase &quot;blut and boden&quot;.
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questerzen将近 8 年前
The Black Swan has a good point to make about reliance on over-simplified mathematical models, but Taleb&#x27;s macho anti-intellectualism is ultimately nihilistic since he denies even the possibility of achieving a deeper mathematical understanding of risk. But what I really have a problem with is that he has created a band of idiot Twitter acolytes who can be counted on to heap brainless abuse at anyone who Taleb chooses to disagree with, which these days seems to be almost everyone with even slightly diverging views to his. He will not attempt reasonable debate, especially when he is faced with superior erudition: in this regard Mary Beard is only the latest of his many victims. The guy is a pure and simple thug.
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blueyes将近 8 年前
How to be a blowhard...
rtx将近 8 年前
I see more people are now against hims since he stopped virtue signalling.