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Ask HN: Can Bitcoin go to zero?

4 点作者 joering2超过 6 年前
If possible, what happens then?

2 条评论

D_Alex超过 6 年前
Ever? Certainly. Within say 50 years? Possibly, perhaps even probably. It would seem unusual to me that a first attempt at a digital currency would survive as long as this.<p>Consider the fate of early search engines, eg Alta Vista. The number of searches on this once leading search engine is, today, exactly zero. It lasted less than 20 years.<p>What happens then: probably nothing significant, it will not be something that happens in a single day. Possibly the value will be transferred into some other medium. Or, the remaining hodlers will lose the last iota of value, which has been slowly declining for ages.<p>Oh... how much are tulip bulbs worth today?
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fiiv超过 6 年前
And here we return to the currency vs. store of value debate.<p>In terms of currency, it goes back to utility. At the moment, Bitcoin (or almost any other crypto) has no or limited utility. By that I mean it is pretty well isolated from the real world – while you can pay for some things with it, you cannot pay for even a significant portion of things you might spend money on in a given day.<p>Some merchants accept it, that&#x27;s true, but ya, the idea that you can move your money into BTC and buy groceries, a coffee, pay your rent, buy lunch, pay for the taxi, etc are not possible now unless you really go out of your way. In my neighbourhood (capital city of a north central European country) you can buy coffee at one place with Bitcoin but there&#x27;s nothing else around to use it on.<p>And if the merchant takes it, then what? So now they either use a service that accepts BTC and takes a cut of it to translate it to fiat or they let you transfer BTC to their wallet as a way to pay, so they still have to move it into fiat to pay their bills, employees, etc.<p>And as a store value, it&#x27;s pretty volatile. It&#x27;s been bleeding since January.<p>Don&#x27;t get me wrong, I believe in digital money and the concept of Bitcoin, but I think there&#x27;s still a long way to go. It&#x27;s not inconceivable that it hits 0.